Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Seattle will reach a daytime high in the low 70s on May 22, well above the 64°F threshold that carries 96% market-implied odds. Recent upper-level ridging and northerly flow have suppressed marine influence, allowing clear skies and above-normal May temperatures to develop across the Puget Sound region. Ensemble consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows limited spread around this outcome, with only modest cloud increases possible late in the day. Historical climatology places typical late-May highs near 68°F, so the current setup represents a modestly warm but not extreme anomaly. Any significant westward shift in the ridge or earlier onshore push could trim readings a few degrees, yet latest model runs keep the probability of falling below 64°F below 5%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seattle on May 22?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 22?
64°F or higher 95.4%
62-63°F 2.5%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
最新
$33,353 交易量
最新
$33,353 交易量
2026-05-22
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
3%
64°F or higher
95%
64°F or higher 95.4%
62-63°F 2.5%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
最新
$33,353 交易量
最新
$33,353 交易量
2026-05-22
45°F or below
$952 交易量
<1%
46-47°F
$6,319 交易量
<1%
48-49°F
$6,560 交易量
<1%
50-51°F
$6,898 交易量
<1%
52-53°F
$455 交易量
<1%
54-55°F
$455 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$6,455 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$455 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$659 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$1,088 交易量
3%
64°F or higher
$3,136 交易量
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Seattle will reach a daytime high in the low 70s on May 22, well above the 64°F threshold that carries 96% market-implied odds. Recent upper-level ridging and northerly flow have suppressed marine influence, allowing clear skies and above-normal May temperatures to develop across the Puget Sound region. Ensemble consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows limited spread around this outcome, with only modest cloud increases possible late in the day. Historical climatology places typical late-May highs near 68°F, so the current setup represents a modestly warm but not extreme anomaly. Any significant westward shift in the ridge or earlier onshore push could trim readings a few degrees, yet latest model runs keep the probability of falling below 64°F below 5%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$33,353结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Seattle will reach a daytime high in the low 70s on May 22, well above the 64°F threshold that carries 96% market-implied odds. Recent upper-level ridging and northerly flow have suppressed marine influence, allowing clear skies and above-normal May temperatures to develop across the Puget Sound region. Ensemble consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows limited spread around this outcome, with only modest cloud increases possible late in the day. Historical climatology places typical late-May highs near 68°F, so the current setup represents a modestly warm but not extreme anomaly. Any significant westward shift in the ridge or earlier onshore push could trim readings a few degrees, yet latest model runs keep the probability of falling below 64°F below 5%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$33,353结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Seattle will reach a daytime high in the low 70s on May 22, well above the 64°F threshold that carries 96% market-implied odds. Recent upper-level ridging and northerly flow have suppressed marine influence, allowing clear skies and above-normal May temperatures to develop across the Puget Sound region. Ensemble consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows limited spread around this outcome, with only modest cloud increases possible late in the day. Historical climatology places typical late-May highs near 68°F, so the current setup represents a modestly warm but not extreme anomaly. Any significant westward shift in the ridge or earlier onshore push could trim readings a few degrees, yet latest model runs keep the probability of falling below 64°F below 5%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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