National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus have positioned Seattle's May 20 high temperature in the mid-60s as the most probable outcome, driving the 60% market-implied odds for 66-67°F. Pacific maritime air and a building high-pressure ridge suppressed afternoon warming, keeping readings near seasonal averages for the Puget Sound region while limiting the chance of stronger solar heating. Ensemble guidance from NOAA showed limited spread around 65-67°F with minimal risk of exceeding 68°F under stable steering patterns. The slim 27.5% probability attached to 68°F or higher reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing, though official observations from Sea-Tac and surrounding stations will determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seattle on May 20?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 20?
66-67°F 89%
68°F or higher 10%
58-59°F <1%
$18,342 交易量
$18,342 交易量
2026-05-20
58-59°F
<1%
66-67°F
89%
68°F or higher
10%
66-67°F 89%
68°F or higher 10%
58-59°F <1%
$18,342 交易量
$18,342 交易量
2026-05-20
58-59°F
$1,952 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$1,902 交易量
89%
68°F or higher
$3,124 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus have positioned Seattle's May 20 high temperature in the mid-60s as the most probable outcome, driving the 60% market-implied odds for 66-67°F. Pacific maritime air and a building high-pressure ridge suppressed afternoon warming, keeping readings near seasonal averages for the Puget Sound region while limiting the chance of stronger solar heating. Ensemble guidance from NOAA showed limited spread around 65-67°F with minimal risk of exceeding 68°F under stable steering patterns. The slim 27.5% probability attached to 68°F or higher reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing, though official observations from Sea-Tac and surrounding stations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 18, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$18,342结束日期
2026-05-20市场开放时间
May 18, 2026, 12:11 AM ET已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus have positioned Seattle's May 20 high temperature in the mid-60s as the most probable outcome, driving the 60% market-implied odds for 66-67°F. Pacific maritime air and a building high-pressure ridge suppressed afternoon warming, keeping readings near seasonal averages for the Puget Sound region while limiting the chance of stronger solar heating. Ensemble guidance from NOAA showed limited spread around 65-67°F with minimal risk of exceeding 68°F under stable steering patterns. The slim 27.5% probability attached to 68°F or higher reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing, though official observations from Sea-Tac and surrounding stations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$18,342结束日期
2026-05-20市场开放时间
May 18, 2026, 12:11 AM ET已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus have positioned Seattle's May 20 high temperature in the mid-60s as the most probable outcome, driving the 60% market-implied odds for 66-67°F. Pacific maritime air and a building high-pressure ridge suppressed afternoon warming, keeping readings near seasonal averages for the Puget Sound region while limiting the chance of stronger solar heating. Ensemble guidance from NOAA showed limited spread around 65-67°F with minimal risk of exceeding 68°F under stable steering patterns. The slim 27.5% probability attached to 68°F or higher reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day clearing, though official observations from Sea-Tac and surrounding stations will determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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