Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 27–28 °C across London on 22 May under building high pressure and light southerly flow, with ample sunshine expected to boost surface heating. This setup sits several degrees above the late-May climatological average of roughly 19 °C, yet remains below the threshold for exceptional early-summer warmth. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly in the 26–29 °C range, reflecting modest uncertainty tied to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Traders are weighting the short-range stability of these forecasts over historical spring variability, concentrating implied probability on the narrow band around 27 °C while leaving room for minor upward or downward revisions ahead of official verification at London City Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月22日伦敦气温最高？
5月22日伦敦气温最高？
27°C 36%
28°C 27%
26°C 23%
25°C 7.4%
最新
$15,034 交易量
最新
$15,034 交易量
2026-05-22
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
23%
27°C
36%
28°C
27%
29°C
5%
30°C或以上
2%
27°C 36%
28°C 27%
26°C 23%
25°C 7.4%
最新
$15,034 交易量
最新
$15,034 交易量
2026-05-22
20°C or below
$861 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,365 交易量
1%
22°C
$2,063 交易量
1%
23°C
$752 交易量
1%
24°C
$953 交易量
4%
25°C
$964 交易量
7%
26°C
$1,243 交易量
23%
27°C
$1,394 交易量
36%
28°C
$1,697 交易量
27%
29°C
$1,091 交易量
5%
30°C或以上
$1,728 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 27–28 °C across London on 22 May under building high pressure and light southerly flow, with ample sunshine expected to boost surface heating. This setup sits several degrees above the late-May climatological average of roughly 19 °C, yet remains below the threshold for exceptional early-summer warmth. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly in the 26–29 °C range, reflecting modest uncertainty tied to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Traders are weighting the short-range stability of these forecasts over historical spring variability, concentrating implied probability on the narrow band around 27 °C while leaving room for minor upward or downward revisions ahead of official verification at London City Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$15,034结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 27–28 °C across London on 22 May under building high pressure and light southerly flow, with ample sunshine expected to boost surface heating. This setup sits several degrees above the late-May climatological average of roughly 19 °C, yet remains below the threshold for exceptional early-summer warmth. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly in the 26–29 °C range, reflecting modest uncertainty tied to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Traders are weighting the short-range stability of these forecasts over historical spring variability, concentrating implied probability on the narrow band around 27 °C while leaving room for minor upward or downward revisions ahead of official verification at London City Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$15,034结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 27–28 °C across London on 22 May under building high pressure and light southerly flow, with ample sunshine expected to boost surface heating. This setup sits several degrees above the late-May climatological average of roughly 19 °C, yet remains below the threshold for exceptional early-summer warmth. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly in the 26–29 °C range, reflecting modest uncertainty tied to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Traders are weighting the short-range stability of these forecasts over historical spring variability, concentrating implied probability on the narrow band around 27 °C while leaving room for minor upward or downward revisions ahead of official verification at London City Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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