Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate maximum temperatures in Istanbul on May 22 will most likely peak between 18°C and 21°C, reflecting a mild spring pattern with light cloud cover and possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This consensus aligns closely with May climatological averages of 20–22°C for the region while acknowledging model spread from variable sea-breeze influences along the Bosphorus. Traders have concentrated volume on the 19°C and 20°C outcomes because these thresholds best match the current guidance and historical analogs for late-May conditions, with resolution depending on the official daily maximum recorded by Turkish State Meteorological Service stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 22?
20°C 28%
19°C 26%
18°C 19%
21°C 18%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
19%
19°C
26%
20°C
28%
21°C
18%
22°C
7%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 28%
19°C 26%
18°C 19%
21°C 18%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
19%
19°C
26%
20°C
28%
21°C
18%
22°C
7%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 20, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate maximum temperatures in Istanbul on May 22 will most likely peak between 18°C and 21°C, reflecting a mild spring pattern with light cloud cover and possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This consensus aligns closely with May climatological averages of 20–22°C for the region while acknowledging model spread from variable sea-breeze influences along the Bosphorus. Traders have concentrated volume on the 19°C and 20°C outcomes because these thresholds best match the current guidance and historical analogs for late-May conditions, with resolution depending on the official daily maximum recorded by Turkish State Meteorological Service stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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