Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 31°C high in Panama City on August 23 because that value aligns closely with the city's long-term August climatology, when average daily maxima hover near 31°C amid consistent equatorial solar radiation and moderating maritime influences from the Pacific and Caribbean. The wet-season setting typically features scattered convection that can cap daytime heating, keeping outcomes clustered between 30–32°C rather than pushing into extreme territory. With neutral ENSO conditions prevailing, no strong large-scale forcing currently favors major departures from these baselines. Short-range model guidance and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the temperature profile ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日巴拿马城气温最高？
8月23日巴拿马城气温最高？
31°C 45%
32°C 16%
30°C 16%
29°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
9%
30°C
16%
31°C
45%
32°C
16%
33°C
6%
34°C或更高
2%
31°C 45%
32°C 16%
30°C 16%
29°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
24°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
25°C
$0 交易量
<1%
26°C
$8 交易量
<1%
27°C
$5 交易量
1%
28°C
$11 交易量
8%
29°C
$2 交易量
9%
30°C
$13 交易量
16%
31°C
$59 交易量
45%
32°C
$300 交易量
16%
33°C
$36 交易量
6%
34°C或更高
$56 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 31°C high in Panama City on August 23 because that value aligns closely with the city's long-term August climatology, when average daily maxima hover near 31°C amid consistent equatorial solar radiation and moderating maritime influences from the Pacific and Caribbean. The wet-season setting typically features scattered convection that can cap daytime heating, keeping outcomes clustered between 30–32°C rather than pushing into extreme territory. With neutral ENSO conditions prevailing, no strong large-scale forcing currently favors major departures from these baselines. Short-range model guidance and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the temperature profile ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
交易量
$491结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 31°C high in Panama City on August 23 because that value aligns closely with the city's long-term August climatology, when average daily maxima hover near 31°C amid consistent equatorial solar radiation and moderating maritime influences from the Pacific and Caribbean. The wet-season setting typically features scattered convection that can cap daytime heating, keeping outcomes clustered between 30–32°C rather than pushing into extreme territory. With neutral ENSO conditions prevailing, no strong large-scale forcing currently favors major departures from these baselines. Short-range model guidance and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the temperature profile ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$491结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETTraders assign the highest implied probability to a 31°C high in Panama City on August 23 because that value aligns closely with the city's long-term August climatology, when average daily maxima hover near 31°C amid consistent equatorial solar radiation and moderating maritime influences from the Pacific and Caribbean. The wet-season setting typically features scattered convection that can cap daytime heating, keeping outcomes clustered between 30–32°C rather than pushing into extreme territory. With neutral ENSO conditions prevailing, no strong large-scale forcing currently favors major departures from these baselines. Short-range model guidance and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the temperature profile ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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