Current short-range ensemble guidance from INMET and global models places São Paulo’s July 12 maximum near the seasonal 21–22 °C climatological baseline, yet with modest warm bias supporting the market’s near-even 32 % odds on 23 °C versus 24 °C. Subtropical winter conditions feature a stable Atlantic high, light northeasterly flow, and limited moisture that keeps diurnal warming sensitive to small differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July maxima cluster tightly around 21–23 °C, so one-degree distinctions hinge on whether afternoon insolation peaks slightly above or below model consensus before official INMET observations resolve the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月12日圣保罗的最高温度？
7月12日圣保罗的最高温度？
24°C 32%
23°C 31%
22°C 16%
25°C 13.2%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
16%
23°C
31%
24°C
32%
25°C
13%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 32%
23°C 31%
22°C 16%
25°C 13.2%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
19°C or below
$253 交易量
<1%
20°C
$102 交易量
4%
21°C
$27 交易量
3%
22°C
$88 交易量
16%
23°C
$118 交易量
31%
24°C
$77 交易量
32%
25°C
$33 交易量
13%
26°C
$278 交易量
2%
27°C
$192 交易量
<1%
28°C
$295 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$255 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble guidance from INMET and global models places São Paulo’s July 12 maximum near the seasonal 21–22 °C climatological baseline, yet with modest warm bias supporting the market’s near-even 32 % odds on 23 °C versus 24 °C. Subtropical winter conditions feature a stable Atlantic high, light northeasterly flow, and limited moisture that keeps diurnal warming sensitive to small differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July maxima cluster tightly around 21–23 °C, so one-degree distinctions hinge on whether afternoon insolation peaks slightly above or below model consensus before official INMET observations resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 10, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
交易量
$1,718结束日期
2026-07-12市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 9:01 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble guidance from INMET and global models places São Paulo’s July 12 maximum near the seasonal 21–22 °C climatological baseline, yet with modest warm bias supporting the market’s near-even 32 % odds on 23 °C versus 24 °C. Subtropical winter conditions feature a stable Atlantic high, light northeasterly flow, and limited moisture that keeps diurnal warming sensitive to small differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July maxima cluster tightly around 21–23 °C, so one-degree distinctions hinge on whether afternoon insolation peaks slightly above or below model consensus before official INMET observations resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,718结束日期
2026-07-12市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 9:01 PM ETCurrent short-range ensemble guidance from INMET and global models places São Paulo’s July 12 maximum near the seasonal 21–22 °C climatological baseline, yet with modest warm bias supporting the market’s near-even 32 % odds on 23 °C versus 24 °C. Subtropical winter conditions feature a stable Atlantic high, light northeasterly flow, and limited moisture that keeps diurnal warming sensitive to small differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July maxima cluster tightly around 21–23 °C, so one-degree distinctions hinge on whether afternoon insolation peaks slightly above or below model consensus before official INMET observations resolve the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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