Recent forecast guidance from numerical weather models, including consensus runs from global and regional systems, positions Tel Aviv's daily maximum temperature on June 10 near 29–31 °C under persistent sunny conditions and light northwesterly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for early June, when average highs typically reach 28–30 °C and sea-breeze moderation limits rapid warming. Trader-implied probabilities favor 30 °C at 48.5 % because latest model outputs and observational trends show a slight positive bias relative to seasonal baselines, while the 31 °C outcome at 29 % reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. Resolution hinges on the official highest recorded value, with any deviation from these central tendencies likely requiring unexpected shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover before sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月10日特拉维夫最高气温?
30°C 50%
31°C 29%
29°C 15%
32°C 8%
$23,510 交易量
$23,510 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
15%
30°C
50%
31°C
29%
32°C
8%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
30°C 50%
31°C 29%
29°C 15%
32°C 8%
$23,510 交易量
$23,510 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
15%
30°C
50%
31°C
29%
32°C
8%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from numerical weather models, including consensus runs from global and regional systems, positions Tel Aviv's daily maximum temperature on June 10 near 29–31 °C under persistent sunny conditions and light northwesterly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for early June, when average highs typically reach 28–30 °C and sea-breeze moderation limits rapid warming. Trader-implied probabilities favor 30 °C at 48.5 % because latest model outputs and observational trends show a slight positive bias relative to seasonal baselines, while the 31 °C outcome at 29 % reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. Resolution hinges on the official highest recorded value, with any deviation from these central tendencies likely requiring unexpected shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover before sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题