Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a persistent marine layer and onshore flow will moderate temperatures across coastal Los Angeles on June 11, supporting the market’s concentration around the 74–77°F range. This typical early-summer pattern, reinforced by the current sea-surface temperatures near 64°F, limits daytime heating despite clear skies and light winds. Historical June climatology at Los Angeles International Airport shows average highs near 75°F, providing context for why traders assign low probability to outcomes above 80°F. Updated model guidance expected tomorrow morning from the National Weather Service will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 11?
76-77°F 35%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 21%
72-73°F 8%
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86°F或以上
<1%
76-77°F 35%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 21%
72-73°F 8%
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86°F或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 9, 2026, 9:09 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a persistent marine layer and onshore flow will moderate temperatures across coastal Los Angeles on June 11, supporting the market’s concentration around the 74–77°F range. This typical early-summer pattern, reinforced by the current sea-surface temperatures near 64°F, limits daytime heating despite clear skies and light winds. Historical June climatology at Los Angeles International Airport shows average highs near 75°F, providing context for why traders assign low probability to outcomes above 80°F. Updated model guidance expected tomorrow morning from the National Weather Service will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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