**Current forecast models and Wellington’s winter climatology position 13°C as the most likely daily maximum on July 13.** Long-term MetService records show July highs clustering between 11–14°C, with a mean near 12°C; the market’s heavy weighting on 13°C (46.5%) and 14°C (29.5%) reflects this central tendency plus recent model runs indicating mild northerly flow ahead of an approaching front. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region, keeping lower outcomes (12°C at 18%) viable if stronger southerlies develop. Cook Strait’s maritime influence and rapid wind shifts add variability, but no major anomalies appear in the latest guidance, so trader consensus remains anchored around the historical peak range with modest upside for 14°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月13日惠灵顿的最高温度？
7月13日惠灵顿的最高温度？
13°C 53%
14°C 30%
12°C 18%
16°C 2.2%
最新
最新
2026-07-13
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
18%
13°C
49%
14°C
30%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 53%
14°C 30%
12°C 18%
16°C 2.2%
最新
最新
2026-07-13
7°C or below
$133 交易量
<1%
8°C
$263 交易量
<1%
9°C
$147 交易量
<1%
10°C
$58 交易量
2%
11°C
$20 交易量
2%
12°C
$95 交易量
18%
13°C
$98 交易量
49%
14°C
$169 交易量
30%
15°C
$76 交易量
2%
16°C
$32 交易量
2%
17°C or higher
$24 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models and Wellington’s winter climatology position 13°C as the most likely daily maximum on July 13.** Long-term MetService records show July highs clustering between 11–14°C, with a mean near 12°C; the market’s heavy weighting on 13°C (46.5%) and 14°C (29.5%) reflects this central tendency plus recent model runs indicating mild northerly flow ahead of an approaching front. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region, keeping lower outcomes (12°C at 18%) viable if stronger southerlies develop. Cook Strait’s maritime influence and rapid wind shifts add variability, but no major anomalies appear in the latest guidance, so trader consensus remains anchored around the historical peak range with modest upside for 14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,118结束日期
2026-07-13市场开放时间
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models and Wellington’s winter climatology position 13°C as the most likely daily maximum on July 13.** Long-term MetService records show July highs clustering between 11–14°C, with a mean near 12°C; the market’s heavy weighting on 13°C (46.5%) and 14°C (29.5%) reflects this central tendency plus recent model runs indicating mild northerly flow ahead of an approaching front. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region, keeping lower outcomes (12°C at 18%) viable if stronger southerlies develop. Cook Strait’s maritime influence and rapid wind shifts add variability, but no major anomalies appear in the latest guidance, so trader consensus remains anchored around the historical peak range with modest upside for 14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,118结束日期
2026-07-13市场开放时间
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET**Current forecast models and Wellington’s winter climatology position 13°C as the most likely daily maximum on July 13.** Long-term MetService records show July highs clustering between 11–14°C, with a mean near 12°C; the market’s heavy weighting on 13°C (46.5%) and 14°C (29.5%) reflects this central tendency plus recent model runs indicating mild northerly flow ahead of an approaching front. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region, keeping lower outcomes (12°C at 18%) viable if stronger southerlies develop. Cook Strait’s maritime influence and rapid wind shifts add variability, but no major anomalies appear in the latest guidance, so trader consensus remains anchored around the historical peak range with modest upside for 14°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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