Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15+ second handshake at 55.5% for the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14–15, 2026—their first in-person meeting since October 2025—driven by historical precedent of extended grips, such as 27–30 seconds during past Asia summits that signaled rapport amid tense trade talks. Recent developments, including Trump's arrival yesterday and his public praise of a "great relationship" with Xi ahead of discussions on trade, fentanyl, and Iran, reinforce expectations of a firm diplomatic greeting during the scheduled bilateral photo op and working lunch. Shorter durations trail due to protocol norms for high-stakes US-China state visits, with no-handshake odds below 3% reflecting low risk of snub in this controlled setting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于15秒及以上 57%
10–15秒 22%
6–10秒 15%
2–6秒 6.7%
$273,377 交易量
$273,377 交易量
2026-12-31
不握手
3%
<2秒
1%
2–6秒
7%
6–10秒
15%
10–15秒
22%
15秒及以上
57%
仅被拍照
1%
15秒及以上 57%
10–15秒 22%
6–10秒 15%
2–6秒 6.7%
$273,377 交易量
$273,377 交易量
2026-12-31
不握手
$54,963 交易量
3%
<2秒
$41,810 交易量
1%
2–6秒
$42,624 交易量
7%
6–10秒
$20,766 交易量
15%
10–15秒
$20,941 交易量
22%
15秒及以上
$50,170 交易量
57%
仅被拍照
$42,274 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15+ second handshake at 55.5% for the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14–15, 2026—their first in-person meeting since October 2025—driven by historical precedent of extended grips, such as 27–30 seconds during past Asia summits that signaled rapport amid tense trade talks. Recent developments, including Trump's arrival yesterday and his public praise of a "great relationship" with Xi ahead of discussions on trade, fentanyl, and Iran, reinforce expectations of a firm diplomatic greeting during the scheduled bilateral photo op and working lunch. Shorter durations trail due to protocol norms for high-stakes US-China state visits, with no-handshake odds below 3% reflecting low risk of snub in this controlled setting.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
市场开放时间： Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
交易量
$273,377结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15+ second handshake at 55.5% for the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14–15, 2026—their first in-person meeting since October 2025—driven by historical precedent of extended grips, such as 27–30 seconds during past Asia summits that signaled rapport amid tense trade talks. Recent developments, including Trump's arrival yesterday and his public praise of a "great relationship" with Xi ahead of discussions on trade, fentanyl, and Iran, reinforce expectations of a firm diplomatic greeting during the scheduled bilateral photo op and working lunch. Shorter durations trail due to protocol norms for high-stakes US-China state visits, with no-handshake odds below 3% reflecting low risk of snub in this controlled setting.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
交易量
$273,377结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15+ second handshake at 55.5% for the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14–15, 2026—their first in-person meeting since October 2025—driven by historical precedent of extended grips, such as 27–30 seconds during past Asia summits that signaled rapport amid tense trade talks. Recent developments, including Trump's arrival yesterday and his public praise of a "great relationship" with Xi ahead of discussions on trade, fentanyl, and Iran, reinforce expectations of a firm diplomatic greeting during the scheduled bilateral photo op and working lunch. Shorter durations trail due to protocol norms for high-stakes US-China state visits, with no-handshake odds below 3% reflecting low risk of snub in this controlled setting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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