President Trump's state visit to China, spanning May 13-15, concluded today with his confirmed departure from Beijing Capital International Airport aboard Air Force One following bilateral summit meetings with President Xi Jinping on trade, Iran policy, and reciprocal visits. Live footage and official White House scheduling captured the exit after a working lunch and departure ceremony, aligning precisely with the published itinerary originally set after a delay from April due to Middle East tensions. Trader consensus at near-certainty for May 15 reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of real-time diplomatic timelines, though slim odds persist for disruptions like flight delays, health events, or unscheduled extensions amid ongoing U.S.-China talks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于May 15 100.0%
Before May 13 <1%
May 13 <1%
May 14 <1%
$1,517,348 交易量
$1,517,348 交易量
2026-05-20
Before May 13
No
May 13
No
May 14
No
May 15
Yes
May 16
No
May 17
No
May 18
No
5月18日之后
否
5月18日前不访问
否
May 15 100.0%
Before May 13 <1%
May 13 <1%
May 14 <1%
$1,517,348 交易量
$1,517,348 交易量
2026-05-20
Before May 13
$8,448 交易量
No
May 13
$8,390 交易量
No
May 14
$51,009 交易量
No
May 15
$110,236 交易量
Yes
May 16
$52,534 交易量
No
May 17
$12,104 交易量
No
May 18
$3,024 交易量
No
5月18日之后
$1,270,452 交易量
否
5月18日前不访问
$1,152 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's state visit to China, spanning May 13-15, concluded today with his confirmed departure from Beijing Capital International Airport aboard Air Force One following bilateral summit meetings with President Xi Jinping on trade, Iran policy, and reciprocal visits. Live footage and official White House scheduling captured the exit after a working lunch and departure ceremony, aligning precisely with the published itinerary originally set after a delay from April due to Middle East tensions. Trader consensus at near-certainty for May 15 reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of real-time diplomatic timelines, though slim odds persist for disruptions like flight delays, health events, or unscheduled extensions amid ongoing U.S.-China talks.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
交易量
$1,517,348结束日期
2026-05-20市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's state visit to China, spanning May 13-15, concluded today with his confirmed departure from Beijing Capital International Airport aboard Air Force One following bilateral summit meetings with President Xi Jinping on trade, Iran policy, and reciprocal visits. Live footage and official White House scheduling captured the exit after a working lunch and departure ceremony, aligning precisely with the published itinerary originally set after a delay from April due to Middle East tensions. Trader consensus at near-certainty for May 15 reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of real-time diplomatic timelines, though slim odds persist for disruptions like flight delays, health events, or unscheduled extensions amid ongoing U.S.-China talks.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,517,348结束日期
2026-05-20市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
President Trump's state visit to China, spanning May 13-15, concluded today with his confirmed departure from Beijing Capital International Airport aboard Air Force One following bilateral summit meetings with President Xi Jinping on trade, Iran policy, and reciprocal visits. Live footage and official White House scheduling captured the exit after a working lunch and departure ceremony, aligning precisely with the published itinerary originally set after a delay from April due to Middle East tensions. Trader consensus at near-certainty for May 15 reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of real-time diplomatic timelines, though slim odds persist for disruptions like flight delays, health events, or unscheduled extensions amid ongoing U.S.-China talks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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