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icon for 以色列大选:总席位数?

以色列大选:总席位数?

icon for 以色列大选:总席位数?

以色列大选:总席位数?

11-13 34%

8-10 29%

少于8 24%

14-16 23%

Polymarket
最新

11-13 34%

8-10 29%

少于8 24%

14-16 23%

Polymarket
最新

少于8

$1,311 交易量

28%

8-10

$529 交易量

33%

11-13

$404 交易量

34%

14-16

$390 交易量

20%

17-19

$124 交易量

5%

20+

$141 交易量

4%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Together, the Bennett-Lapid electoral alliance contesting Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election, has seen its projected seat total decline steadily since its April formation.** Recent polling averages from September place the party in the low-to-mid teens, with individual surveys ranging from single digits to around 15 seats amid competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which consistently leads centrist polling at 22–25 seats. Fragmentation within the broader anti-Netanyahu bloc, final candidate list submissions in early September, and surplus-vote agreements have contributed to uncertainty over turnout and vote distribution. Market pricing clustered tightly across the 8–13 seat bands captures this polling volatility and the limited scope for late shifts absent major security or alliance developments before election day.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
交易量
$2,900
结束日期
2026-10-27
市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Together, the Bennett-Lapid electoral alliance contesting Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election, has seen its projected seat total decline steadily since its April formation.** Recent polling averages from September place the party in the low-to-mid teens, with individual surveys ranging from single digits to around 15 seats amid competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which consistently leads centrist polling at 22–25 seats. Fragmentation within the broader anti-Netanyahu bloc, final candidate list submissions in early September, and surplus-vote agreements have contributed to uncertainty over turnout and vote distribution. Market pricing clustered tightly across the 8–13 seat bands captures this polling volatility and the limited scope for late shifts absent major security or alliance developments before election day.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
交易量
$2,900
结束日期
2026-10-27
市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

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常见问题

"以色列大选:总席位数?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"11-13",概率为 34%,其次是"8-10",概率为 33%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 34¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 34%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"以色列大选:总席位数?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 3, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"以色列大选:总席位数?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"以色列大选:总席位数?"的当前领先者是"11-13",概率为 34%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 34%。紧随其后的结果是"8-10",概率为 33%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"以色列大选:总席位数?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。