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icon for Lecornu在担任法国总理之前... ?

Lecornu在担任法国总理之前... ?

icon for Lecornu在担任法国总理之前... ?

Lecornu在担任法国总理之前... ?

$321,427 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$321,427 交易量

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$20,614 交易量

2%

2026 年 12 月 31 日

$7,373 交易量

30%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's minority government under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has endured repeated parliamentary challenges, most recently by invoking Article 49.3 to pass the 2026 budget in early February after months of deadlock and failed negotiations. This move prompted unsuccessful no-confidence motions from both the left-wing La France Insoumise and the far-right Rassemblement National, allowing the government to remain in place despite lacking a stable majority in the National Assembly. Ongoing fiscal pressures, including deficit targets and spending priorities in energy and defense, continue to test Lecornu's position, while broader political fragmentation limits coalition options. Any shift in parliamentary support or new legislative confrontations before the next budget cycle could influence the timing of potential leadership changes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$321,427
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Dec 4, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's minority government under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has endured repeated parliamentary challenges, most recently by invoking Article 49.3 to pass the 2026 budget in early February after months of deadlock and failed negotiations. This move prompted unsuccessful no-confidence motions from both the left-wing La France Insoumise and the far-right Rassemblement National, allowing the government to remain in place despite lacking a stable majority in the National Assembly. Ongoing fiscal pressures, including deficit targets and spending priorities in energy and defense, continue to test Lecornu's position, while broader political fragmentation limits coalition options. Any shift in parliamentary support or new legislative confrontations before the next budget cycle could influence the timing of potential leadership changes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$321,427
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Dec 4, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Lecornu在担任法国总理之前... ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2026 年 12 月 31 日",概率为 30%,其次是"2026年6月30日",概率为 2%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 30¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 30%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Lecornu在担任法国总理之前... ?"已产生 $321.4K 的总交易量(自Oct 11, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Lecornu在担任法国总理之前... ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Lecornu在担任法国总理之前... ?"的当前领先者是"2026 年 12 月 31 日",概率为 30%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 30%。紧随其后的结果是"2026年6月30日",概率为 2%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Lecornu在担任法国总理之前... ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。