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icon for 2027年法国总统选举:阿塔尔对菲利普

2027年法国总统选举:阿塔尔对菲利普

icon for 2027年法国总统选举:阿塔尔对菲利普

2027年法国总统选举:阿塔尔对菲利普

爱德华·菲利普 70%

加布里埃尔·阿塔尔 17.2%

两者都在 13%

都不是 <1%

Polymarket
最新

爱德华·菲利普 70%

加布里埃尔·阿塔尔 17.2%

两者都在 13%

都不是 <1%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 爱德华·菲利普

爱德华·菲利普

$2,202 交易量

70%

icon for 加布里埃尔·阿塔尔

加布里埃尔·阿塔尔

$1,459 交易量

17%

icon for 两者都在

两者都在

$1,606 交易量

13%

icon for 都不是

都不是

$649 交易量

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Édouard Philippe holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2027 French presidential race matchup against Gabriel Attal due to his consistent edge in centrist polling and broader appeal among right-leaning and Macron-era voters. Recent surveys place Philippe ahead within the fragmented center bloc, often in the mid-teens to low twenties when both candidates run, while Attal trails despite gains. Philippe benefits from his record as a former prime minister, established party infrastructure via Horizons, and outreach efforts toward broader right-center coalitions. Attal, positioning as a renewal figure with stronger pro-European integration proposals including joint debt and a two-speed EU framework, has not yet narrowed the gap amid personal rivalries and stalled unity talks. Persistent divisions in the centrist space, amid strong showings by National Rally and La France Insoumise candidates, further shape assessments of their relative prospects in a two-round system.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,916
结束日期
2027-04-18
市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:38 PM ET
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Édouard Philippe holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2027 French presidential race matchup against Gabriel Attal due to his consistent edge in centrist polling and broader appeal among right-leaning and Macron-era voters. Recent surveys place Philippe ahead within the fragmented center bloc, often in the mid-teens to low twenties when both candidates run, while Attal trails despite gains. Philippe benefits from his record as a former prime minister, established party infrastructure via Horizons, and outreach efforts toward broader right-center coalitions. Attal, positioning as a renewal figure with stronger pro-European integration proposals including joint debt and a two-speed EU framework, has not yet narrowed the gap amid personal rivalries and stalled unity talks. Persistent divisions in the centrist space, amid strong showings by National Rally and La France Insoumise candidates, further shape assessments of their relative prospects in a two-round system.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,916
结束日期
2027-04-18
市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:38 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2027年法国总统选举:阿塔尔对菲利普"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"爱德华·菲利普",概率为 70%,其次是"加布里埃尔·阿塔尔",概率为 17%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 70¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 70%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"2027年法国总统选举:阿塔尔对菲利普"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 1, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"2027年法国总统选举:阿塔尔对菲利普"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2027年法国总统选举:阿塔尔对菲利普"的当前领先者是"爱德华·菲利普",概率为 70%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 70%。紧随其后的结果是"加布里埃尔·阿塔尔",概率为 17%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2027年法国总统选举:阿塔尔对菲利普"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。