Recent forecasts from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models indicate clear skies and light northerly winds over Ankara on September 8, promoting radiative cooling and overnight lows primarily in the 11–14°C range at representative stations such as Esenboğa Airport. This setup, following a modest cooldown from early September highs near 25–29°C, supports market-implied odds clustering around 9–11°C outcomes, with the 50% probability on 9°C or below reflecting trader emphasis on potential local variations, model spread in minimum temperature timing, and the official resolution criteria tied to precise station readings. Historical September climatology for Ankara shows typical minima near 12–14°C, so current conditions align closely with baseline expectations while leaving room for minor downward revisions from updated model runs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日安卡拉最低气温?
9°C或以下 49%
12°C 47%
14°C 47%
15°C 47%
9°C或以下
49%
10°C
26%
11°C
25%
12°C
47%
13°C
25%
14°C
47%
15°C
47%
16°C
47%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C或更高
23%
9°C或以下 49%
12°C 47%
14°C 47%
15°C 47%
9°C或以下
49%
10°C
26%
11°C
25%
12°C
47%
13°C
25%
14°C
47%
15°C
47%
16°C
47%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C或更高
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models indicate clear skies and light northerly winds over Ankara on September 8, promoting radiative cooling and overnight lows primarily in the 11–14°C range at representative stations such as Esenboğa Airport. This setup, following a modest cooldown from early September highs near 25–29°C, supports market-implied odds clustering around 9–11°C outcomes, with the 50% probability on 9°C or below reflecting trader emphasis on potential local variations, model spread in minimum temperature timing, and the official resolution criteria tied to precise station readings. Historical September climatology for Ankara shows typical minima near 12–14°C, so current conditions align closely with baseline expectations while leaving room for minor downward revisions from updated model runs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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