Forecast models from multiple agencies indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 6 will likely settle in the 21–23°C range under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, consistent with the market's tightly clustered leading outcomes near 18–24°C. Persistent high pressure and above-average warmth through early September have kept minimum temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 18.2°C, while an approaching cold front and increased moisture on September 7 introduce timing uncertainty that could shave a degree or two lower if cooling begins earlier than expected. Ensemble spreads remain modest but acknowledge typical nocturnal radiative cooling variability under clear to partly cloudy conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日北京最低气温?
14°C或以下 66%
24°C或更高 66%
20°C 47%
22°C 47%
14°C或以下
66%
15°C
16%
16°C
16%
17°C
24%
18°C
35%
19°C
33%
20°C
47%
21°C
27%
22°C
47%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
66%
14°C或以下 66%
24°C或更高 66%
20°C 47%
22°C 47%
14°C或以下
66%
15°C
16%
16°C
16%
17°C
24%
18°C
35%
19°C
33%
20°C
47%
21°C
27%
22°C
47%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
66%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from multiple agencies indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 6 will likely settle in the 21–23°C range under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, consistent with the market's tightly clustered leading outcomes near 18–24°C. Persistent high pressure and above-average warmth through early September have kept minimum temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 18.2°C, while an approaching cold front and increased moisture on September 7 introduce timing uncertainty that could shave a degree or two lower if cooling begins earlier than expected. Ensemble spreads remain modest but acknowledge typical nocturnal radiative cooling variability under clear to partly cloudy conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题