Traders see 25°C as the most probable minimum for Kuala Lumpur on September 6, with 23–24°C close behind, reflecting modest model consensus amid typical late-summer variability. Primary drivers include overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, potential convective showers that limit temperature drops, and steering influences from the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Historical September minima in the city hover near 24–26°C, though urban heat effects and humidity often raise floors. Recent regional analyses show mixed guidance from global models on rainfall timing and wind patterns, creating the observed spread in implied probabilities. Updated forecasts from Malaysian meteorological services and ensemble runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日吉隆坡气温最低?
26°C 50%
22°C 49%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
19°C或以下
7%
20°C
6%
21°C
6%
22°C
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
35%
26°C
50%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C或更高
2%
26°C 50%
22°C 49%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
19°C或以下
7%
20°C
6%
21°C
6%
22°C
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
35%
26°C
50%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see 25°C as the most probable minimum for Kuala Lumpur on September 6, with 23–24°C close behind, reflecting modest model consensus amid typical late-summer variability. Primary drivers include overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, potential convective showers that limit temperature drops, and steering influences from the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Historical September minima in the city hover near 24–26°C, though urban heat effects and humidity often raise floors. Recent regional analyses show mixed guidance from global models on rainfall timing and wind patterns, creating the observed spread in implied probabilities. Updated forecasts from Malaysian meteorological services and ensemble runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题