Current forecasts from the Met Office and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C in London on July 10 amid easing heatwave conditions after daytime peaks of 30–34°C. Nighttime radiative cooling under clearing skies and light winds represents the main variable, with urban heat island effects potentially elevating readings above rural baselines. Ensemble spread in ECMWF and UKMO runs creates the observed market distribution favoring 18°C, as modest shifts in cloud cover or Atlantic airflow could push the low to 19–21°C or hold it near 17°C. Updated model guidance and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on the recorded daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in London on July 10?
21°C 59%
20°C 28%
22°C 14%
19°C 4.0%
$10,597 交易量
$10,597 交易量
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
28%
21°C
59%
22°C
14%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 59%
20°C 28%
22°C 14%
19°C 4.0%
$10,597 交易量
$10,597 交易量
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
28%
21°C
59%
22°C
14%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the Met Office and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C in London on July 10 amid easing heatwave conditions after daytime peaks of 30–34°C. Nighttime radiative cooling under clearing skies and light winds represents the main variable, with urban heat island effects potentially elevating readings above rural baselines. Ensemble spread in ECMWF and UKMO runs creates the observed market distribution favoring 18°C, as modest shifts in cloud cover or Atlantic airflow could push the low to 19–21°C or hold it near 17°C. Updated model guidance and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on the recorded daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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