Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate overnight lows near 22°C in Milan on September 6 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly flow, supporting the elevated market-implied odds around 20–21°C. Trader consensus assigning the highest probability (47.5%) to 18°C or below likely reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling rates and potential for localized radiative effects or slight model underestimation of nocturnal drops. Historical September minima average near 14–16°C, but current conditions favor milder values ahead of an anticipated cooling trend later in the week. Updated model runs and official station data from Italian meteorological services will provide key resolution signals as the date approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日米兰最低气温？
9月6日米兰最低气温？
18°C或以下 92%
28℃或以上 59%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
18°C或以下
92%
19°C
31%
20°C
32%
21°C
32%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28℃或以上
59%
18°C或以下 92%
28℃或以上 59%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
92%
19°C
$2 交易量
31%
20°C
$0 交易量
32%
21°C
$0 交易量
32%
22°C
$0 交易量
50%
23°C
$0 交易量
50%
24°C
$0 交易量
2%
25°C
$0 交易量
3%
26°C
$0 交易量
3%
27°C
$0 交易量
3%
28℃或以上
$0 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate overnight lows near 22°C in Milan on September 6 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly flow, supporting the elevated market-implied odds around 20–21°C. Trader consensus assigning the highest probability (47.5%) to 18°C or below likely reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling rates and potential for localized radiative effects or slight model underestimation of nocturnal drops. Historical September minima average near 14–16°C, but current conditions favor milder values ahead of an anticipated cooling trend later in the week. Updated model runs and official station data from Italian meteorological services will provide key resolution signals as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate overnight lows near 22°C in Milan on September 6 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly flow, supporting the elevated market-implied odds around 20–21°C. Trader consensus assigning the highest probability (47.5%) to 18°C or below likely reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling rates and potential for localized radiative effects or slight model underestimation of nocturnal drops. Historical September minima average near 14–16°C, but current conditions favor milder values ahead of an anticipated cooling trend later in the week. Updated model runs and official station data from Italian meteorological services will provide key resolution signals as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate overnight lows near 22°C in Milan on September 6 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly flow, supporting the elevated market-implied odds around 20–21°C. Trader consensus assigning the highest probability (47.5%) to 18°C or below likely reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling rates and potential for localized radiative effects or slight model underestimation of nocturnal drops. Historical September minima average near 14–16°C, but current conditions favor milder values ahead of an anticipated cooling trend later in the week. Updated model runs and official station data from Italian meteorological services will provide key resolution signals as the date approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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