Recent post-heatwave moderation across northern France, with weakening high pressure and increasing northwesterly flow, is the main driver of trader positioning for Paris minimum temperatures on July 6. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF shows spreads centered on 15–18 °C overnight lows, with radiative cooling under clearer skies favoring the lower end and increased cloud or maritime advection keeping readings higher. Urban heat-island effects and variable boundary-layer moisture add further uncertainty within a narrow 2–3 °C window, explaining the tight clustering around 13–16 °C outcomes. Upcoming model runs and official bulletins through July 5 will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the observed minimum at Paris-Montsouris.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Paris on July 6?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 6?
17°C 35%
16°C 28%
15°C 20%
21°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-06
13°C or below
5%
14°C
10%
15°C
20%
16°C
28%
17°C
35%
18°C
12%
19°C
5%
20°C
4%
21°C
9%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 35%
16°C 28%
15°C 20%
21°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-06
13°C or below
$15 交易量
5%
14°C
$25 交易量
10%
15°C
$20 交易量
20%
16°C
$14 交易量
28%
17°C
$37 交易量
35%
18°C
$25 交易量
12%
19°C
$0 交易量
5%
20°C
$16 交易量
4%
21°C
$20 交易量
9%
22°C
$44 交易量
<1%
23°C or higher
$72 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent post-heatwave moderation across northern France, with weakening high pressure and increasing northwesterly flow, is the main driver of trader positioning for Paris minimum temperatures on July 6. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF shows spreads centered on 15–18 °C overnight lows, with radiative cooling under clearer skies favoring the lower end and increased cloud or maritime advection keeping readings higher. Urban heat-island effects and variable boundary-layer moisture add further uncertainty within a narrow 2–3 °C window, explaining the tight clustering around 13–16 °C outcomes. Upcoming model runs and official bulletins through July 5 will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the observed minimum at Paris-Montsouris.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$288结束日期
2026-07-06市场开放时间
Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent post-heatwave moderation across northern France, with weakening high pressure and increasing northwesterly flow, is the main driver of trader positioning for Paris minimum temperatures on July 6. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF shows spreads centered on 15–18 °C overnight lows, with radiative cooling under clearer skies favoring the lower end and increased cloud or maritime advection keeping readings higher. Urban heat-island effects and variable boundary-layer moisture add further uncertainty within a narrow 2–3 °C window, explaining the tight clustering around 13–16 °C outcomes. Upcoming model runs and official bulletins through July 5 will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the observed minimum at Paris-Montsouris.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$288结束日期
2026-07-06市场开放时间
Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent post-heatwave moderation across northern France, with weakening high pressure and increasing northwesterly flow, is the main driver of trader positioning for Paris minimum temperatures on July 6. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF shows spreads centered on 15–18 °C overnight lows, with radiative cooling under clearer skies favoring the lower end and increased cloud or maritime advection keeping readings higher. Urban heat-island effects and variable boundary-layer moisture add further uncertainty within a narrow 2–3 °C window, explaining the tight clustering around 13–16 °C outcomes. Upcoming model runs and official bulletins through July 5 will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the observed minimum at Paris-Montsouris.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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