Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and BBC indicate Qingdao’s daily minimum temperature on August 24, 2026, is most likely to fall between 24–27°C, driven by typical late-summer coastal conditions in Shandong province where the Yellow Sea moderates overnight cooling. Persistent humidity, light rain or thundershowers, and southerly winds are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping lows near the seasonal average of 23–25°C rather than allowing sharper drops. The market’s elevated implied probability on 22°C or below (43.5%) appears to reflect residual uncertainty around possible model shifts or localized cooling from overnight precipitation, while the 32°C-or-higher outcome (23.0%) likely tracks expectations for the daytime maximum. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest official guidance on steering patterns and any revisions to numerical weather prediction runs that could adjust the overnight minimum by 1–3°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日青岛最低气温？
8月24日青岛最低气温？
22°C或以下 89%
32℃或更高 46%
28°C 37%
23°C 36%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
22°C或以下
89%
23°C
36%
24°C
19%
25°C
19%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
37%
29°C
2%
30°C
36%
31°C
36%
32℃或更高
46%
22°C或以下 89%
32℃或更高 46%
28°C 37%
23°C 36%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
22°C或以下
$5 交易量
89%
23°C
$5 交易量
36%
24°C
$17 交易量
19%
25°C
$0 交易量
19%
26°C
$18 交易量
20%
27°C
$0 交易量
20%
28°C
$5 交易量
37%
29°C
$5 交易量
2%
30°C
$5 交易量
36%
31°C
$5 交易量
36%
32℃或更高
$5 交易量
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and BBC indicate Qingdao’s daily minimum temperature on August 24, 2026, is most likely to fall between 24–27°C, driven by typical late-summer coastal conditions in Shandong province where the Yellow Sea moderates overnight cooling. Persistent humidity, light rain or thundershowers, and southerly winds are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping lows near the seasonal average of 23–25°C rather than allowing sharper drops. The market’s elevated implied probability on 22°C or below (43.5%) appears to reflect residual uncertainty around possible model shifts or localized cooling from overnight precipitation, while the 32°C-or-higher outcome (23.0%) likely tracks expectations for the daytime maximum. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest official guidance on steering patterns and any revisions to numerical weather prediction runs that could adjust the overnight minimum by 1–3°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$70结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and BBC indicate Qingdao’s daily minimum temperature on August 24, 2026, is most likely to fall between 24–27°C, driven by typical late-summer coastal conditions in Shandong province where the Yellow Sea moderates overnight cooling. Persistent humidity, light rain or thundershowers, and southerly winds are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping lows near the seasonal average of 23–25°C rather than allowing sharper drops. The market’s elevated implied probability on 22°C or below (43.5%) appears to reflect residual uncertainty around possible model shifts or localized cooling from overnight precipitation, while the 32°C-or-higher outcome (23.0%) likely tracks expectations for the daytime maximum. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest official guidance on steering patterns and any revisions to numerical weather prediction runs that could adjust the overnight minimum by 1–3°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$70结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and BBC indicate Qingdao’s daily minimum temperature on August 24, 2026, is most likely to fall between 24–27°C, driven by typical late-summer coastal conditions in Shandong province where the Yellow Sea moderates overnight cooling. Persistent humidity, light rain or thundershowers, and southerly winds are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping lows near the seasonal average of 23–25°C rather than allowing sharper drops. The market’s elevated implied probability on 22°C or below (43.5%) appears to reflect residual uncertainty around possible model shifts or localized cooling from overnight precipitation, while the 32°C-or-higher outcome (23.0%) likely tracks expectations for the daytime maximum. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest official guidance on steering patterns and any revisions to numerical weather prediction runs that could adjust the overnight minimum by 1–3°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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