Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90-100%, and ongoing light to moderate rain from southeast winds are suppressing overnight radiative cooling in Qingdao, keeping minimum temperatures elevated above the August climatological average of roughly 22–23°C. Latest forecasts from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological reports and international models, indicate a daily minimum on August 22 likely between 25–27°C, with some runs showing 25°C and others closer to 27°C depending on rain timing and wind strength. Trader consensus, with 24°C at 44% implied probability and 23–25°C capturing the bulk of volume, reflects this model spread and the low odds of significant cooling under saturated conditions. Updated model runs and local observatory observations through the evening of August 21 will provide the final calibration before resolution.