Recent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight a developing tropical depression near Hainan that is expected to intensify and track toward the South China coast around August 24–25, introducing increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential rainfall that moderate nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 26°C amid the subtropical monsoon regime, where high moisture content limits temperature drops after sunset. The closely matched market odds for 25–27°C reflect uncertainty in the system’s timing and intensity: stronger onshore flow or heavier showers could enhance evaporative cooling and push the minimum toward 25°C, while clearer breaks or delayed arrival might allow typical radiative losses to support 27°C. Official updates from regional meteorological agencies on steering patterns and model consensus will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日深圳最低气温？
8月24日深圳最低气温？
23°C 78%
27°C 48%
26°C 46%
25°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
78%
24°C
11%
25°C
40%
26°C
46%
27°C
48%
28°C
22%
29°C
11%
30°C
1%
31°C或更高
5%
23°C 78%
27°C 48%
26°C 46%
25°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
21°C或以下
$672 交易量
1%
22°C
$5 交易量
1%
23°C
$5 交易量
78%
24°C
$0 交易量
11%
25°C
$0 交易量
40%
26°C
$0 交易量
46%
27°C
$0 交易量
48%
28°C
$0 交易量
22%
29°C
$0 交易量
11%
30°C
$5 交易量
1%
31°C或更高
$5 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight a developing tropical depression near Hainan that is expected to intensify and track toward the South China coast around August 24–25, introducing increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential rainfall that moderate nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 26°C amid the subtropical monsoon regime, where high moisture content limits temperature drops after sunset. The closely matched market odds for 25–27°C reflect uncertainty in the system’s timing and intensity: stronger onshore flow or heavier showers could enhance evaporative cooling and push the minimum toward 25°C, while clearer breaks or delayed arrival might allow typical radiative losses to support 27°C. Official updates from regional meteorological agencies on steering patterns and model consensus will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$692结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight a developing tropical depression near Hainan that is expected to intensify and track toward the South China coast around August 24–25, introducing increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential rainfall that moderate nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 26°C amid the subtropical monsoon regime, where high moisture content limits temperature drops after sunset. The closely matched market odds for 25–27°C reflect uncertainty in the system’s timing and intensity: stronger onshore flow or heavier showers could enhance evaporative cooling and push the minimum toward 25°C, while clearer breaks or delayed arrival might allow typical radiative losses to support 27°C. Official updates from regional meteorological agencies on steering patterns and model consensus will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$692结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight a developing tropical depression near Hainan that is expected to intensify and track toward the South China coast around August 24–25, introducing increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential rainfall that moderate nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 26°C amid the subtropical monsoon regime, where high moisture content limits temperature drops after sunset. The closely matched market odds for 25–27°C reflect uncertainty in the system’s timing and intensity: stronger onshore flow or heavier showers could enhance evaporative cooling and push the minimum toward 25°C, while clearer breaks or delayed arrival might allow typical radiative losses to support 27°C. Official updates from regional meteorological agencies on steering patterns and model consensus will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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