Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shenzhen's daily minimum on August 22 likely falling between 25–27°C due to persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical monsoon region. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these outcomes because steering patterns and precipitation timing remain uncertain, with any earlier clearing potentially allowing slightly lower readings near 25°C while prolonged overcast conditions favor 27°C. Historical August baselines average 26°C lows, but short-term variability from convective activity creates the narrow probability spread observed. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日深圳最低气温?
27°C 35%
26°C 30%
28°C 27%
25°C 25%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
25%
26°C
30%
27°C
35%
28°C
27%
29°C
4%
30°C
13%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
27°C 35%
26°C 30%
28°C 27%
25°C 25%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
25%
26°C
30%
27°C
35%
28°C
27%
29°C
4%
30°C
13%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shenzhen's daily minimum on August 22 likely falling between 25–27°C due to persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical monsoon region. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these outcomes because steering patterns and precipitation timing remain uncertain, with any earlier clearing potentially allowing slightly lower readings near 25°C while prolonged overcast conditions favor 27°C. Historical August baselines average 26°C lows, but short-term variability from convective activity creates the narrow probability spread observed. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题