Current forecasts from Singapore’s National Environment Agency and regional models indicate southwest monsoon conditions persisting into August 24, with nighttime minimum temperatures likely holding near or above 27°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Historical climatology shows August lows averaging 25.3°C at Changi, with rare dips to 22°C or below occurring mainly during northeast monsoon cold surges rather than the current season. Recent observations confirm persistently warm, humid nights above 27°C through mid-August, supporting trader emphasis on the 21°C-or-below outcome at 48% implied probability as a low-probability tail event while placing secondary weight around 25–28°C brackets consistent with typical variability and model consensus. Updated forecast runs and official minimum readings over the next 48 hours will provide the key resolution signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡8月24日的最低温度?
21°C or below 84%
30°C 36%
24°C 35%
22°C 34%
21°C or below
84%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
35%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
22%
28°C
22%
29°C
19%
30°C
36%
31°C or higher
2%
21°C or below 84%
30°C 36%
24°C 35%
22°C 34%
21°C or below
84%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
35%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
22%
28°C
22%
29°C
19%
30°C
36%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from Singapore’s National Environment Agency and regional models indicate southwest monsoon conditions persisting into August 24, with nighttime minimum temperatures likely holding near or above 27°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Historical climatology shows August lows averaging 25.3°C at Changi, with rare dips to 22°C or below occurring mainly during northeast monsoon cold surges rather than the current season. Recent observations confirm persistently warm, humid nights above 27°C through mid-August, supporting trader emphasis on the 21°C-or-below outcome at 48% implied probability as a low-probability tail event while placing secondary weight around 25–28°C brackets consistent with typical variability and model consensus. Updated forecast runs and official minimum readings over the next 48 hours will provide the key resolution signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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