Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60% for this parlay market, reflecting the absence of five triggers by March 31—no Iranian regime collapse despite U.S. tensions, Federal Reserve holding rates at 3.5%-3.75% post-FOMC, no Trump national emergency declaration on election interference, no Insurrection Act invocation, and SAVE Act unsigned after House passage amid Senate holdouts—and recent polling in the Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff favoring challenger Ken Paxton (48%) over incumbent John Cornyn (45%) per University of Houston Hobby School's May 5 survey. With Democrat James Talarico already nominated, Paxton's edge tilts odds against both facing off in November, potentially extending market resolution past the May 26 runoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于什么都没有
$340,193 交易量
$340,193 交易量
2026-03-31
什么都没有
$340,193 交易量
$340,193 交易量
2026-03-31
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60% for this parlay market, reflecting the absence of five triggers by March 31—no Iranian regime collapse despite U.S. tensions, Federal Reserve holding rates at 3.5%-3.75% post-FOMC, no Trump national emergency declaration on election interference, no Insurrection Act invocation, and SAVE Act unsigned after House passage amid Senate holdouts—and recent polling in the Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff favoring challenger Ken Paxton (48%) over incumbent John Cornyn (45%) per University of Houston Hobby School's May 5 survey. With Democrat James Talarico already nominated, Paxton's edge tilts odds against both facing off in November, potentially extending market resolution past the May 26 runoff.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
市场开放时间： Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
交易量
$340,193结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60% for this parlay market, reflecting the absence of five triggers by March 31—no Iranian regime collapse despite U.S. tensions, Federal Reserve holding rates at 3.5%-3.75% post-FOMC, no Trump national emergency declaration on election interference, no Insurrection Act invocation, and SAVE Act unsigned after House passage amid Senate holdouts—and recent polling in the Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff favoring challenger Ken Paxton (48%) over incumbent John Cornyn (45%) per University of Houston Hobby School's May 5 survey. With Democrat James Talarico already nominated, Paxton's edge tilts odds against both facing off in November, potentially extending market resolution past the May 26 runoff.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
交易量
$340,193结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60% for this parlay market, reflecting the absence of five triggers by March 31—no Iranian regime collapse despite U.S. tensions, Federal Reserve holding rates at 3.5%-3.75% post-FOMC, no Trump national emergency declaration on election interference, no Insurrection Act invocation, and SAVE Act unsigned after House passage amid Senate holdouts—and recent polling in the Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff favoring challenger Ken Paxton (48%) over incumbent John Cornyn (45%) per University of Houston Hobby School's May 5 survey. With Democrat James Talarico already nominated, Paxton's edge tilts odds against both facing off in November, potentially extending market resolution past the May 26 runoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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