Following April 1, 2026, oral arguments in Trump v. Barbara, Supreme Court justices across the ideological spectrum expressed deep skepticism toward President Trump's Executive Order 14160, issued January 20, 2025, which seeks to restrict birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment for children of noncitizens lacking legal status. Reports highlighted doubts over reinterpreting longstanding precedent like United States v. Wong Kim Ark (1898), with even conservative justices questioning executive authority to unilaterally alter constitutional citizenship guarantees. Though a prior June 2025 ruling limited nationwide injunctions against the order, the merits phase signals trader consensus at 91% for SCOTUS striking it down, barring late surprises before the expected summer decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$121,523 交易量
$121,523 交易量
是
$121,523 交易量
$121,523 交易量
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” may not be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the order, in whole, is unconstitutional or cannot lawfully take effect, or that the order cannot be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States.
Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the order may lawfully be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case clearly and finally permits the order to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Executive Order is withdrawn prior to any qualifying Supreme Court ruling on the order, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Mar 31, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” may not be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the order, in whole, is unconstitutional or cannot lawfully take effect, or that the order cannot be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States.
Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the order may lawfully be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case clearly and finally permits the order to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Executive Order is withdrawn prior to any qualifying Supreme Court ruling on the order, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Following April 1, 2026, oral arguments in Trump v. Barbara, Supreme Court justices across the ideological spectrum expressed deep skepticism toward President Trump's Executive Order 14160, issued January 20, 2025, which seeks to restrict birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment for children of noncitizens lacking legal status. Reports highlighted doubts over reinterpreting longstanding precedent like United States v. Wong Kim Ark (1898), with even conservative justices questioning executive authority to unilaterally alter constitutional citizenship guarantees. Though a prior June 2025 ruling limited nationwide injunctions against the order, the merits phase signals trader consensus at 91% for SCOTUS striking it down, barring late surprises before the expected summer decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题