Swiss voters will decide two measures on June 14, 2026. The first is the “No to ten million Switzerland” popular initiative, which would amend the constitution to cap permanent residents at 10 million before 2050 and require termination of the EU free-movement agreement if the threshold is crossed; recent GfS Bern polling shows the measure tied at 47 percent support and 47 percent opposition, while the Federal Council opposes it over risks to bilateral accords and labor supply. The second is an optional referendum on amendments to the Civilian Service Act intended to limit transfers from military service; this proposal faces limited organized opposition and aligns with established parliamentary majorities. These concurrent national votes follow standard direct-democracy rules requiring a simple majority of valid ballots.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$103,391 交易量
民事服役法
76%
拒绝一千万人口瑞士
36%
$103,391 交易量
民事服役法
76%
拒绝一千万人口瑞士
36%
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Swiss voters will decide two measures on June 14, 2026. The first is the “No to ten million Switzerland” popular initiative, which would amend the constitution to cap permanent residents at 10 million before 2050 and require termination of the EU free-movement agreement if the threshold is crossed; recent GfS Bern polling shows the measure tied at 47 percent support and 47 percent opposition, while the Federal Council opposes it over risks to bilateral accords and labor supply. The second is an optional referendum on amendments to the Civilian Service Act intended to limit transfers from military service; this proposal faces limited organized opposition and aligns with established parliamentary majorities. These concurrent national votes follow standard direct-democracy rules requiring a simple majority of valid ballots.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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