Trader consensus places President Trump's approval rating in the upper 30s for the August 28 reading, with closely matched probabilities across the 37–39 ranges reflecting stable recent polling averages and minimal expected short-term movement. Economic data releases, congressional legislative progress, and public reaction to administration actions on immigration, trade, and foreign policy serve as primary drivers. The narrow spread signals uncertainty over minor daily fluctuations from news events, while the low probability on sub-37 outcomes underscores resilience in current survey trends. Any late-week announcements or data points within the resolution window remain the main variables that could shift final positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于37.5–37.9 45%
39.0以上 45%
38.0–38.4 44%
37.0–37.4 44%
低于37.0
15%
37.0–37.4
44%
37.5–37.9
45%
38.0–38.4
44%
38.5–38.9
44%
39.0以上
45%
37.5–37.9 45%
39.0以上 45%
38.0–38.4 44%
37.0–37.4 44%
低于37.0
15%
37.0–37.4
44%
37.5–37.9
45%
38.0–38.4
44%
38.5–38.9
44%
39.0以上
45%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间: Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus places President Trump's approval rating in the upper 30s for the August 28 reading, with closely matched probabilities across the 37–39 ranges reflecting stable recent polling averages and minimal expected short-term movement. Economic data releases, congressional legislative progress, and public reaction to administration actions on immigration, trade, and foreign policy serve as primary drivers. The narrow spread signals uncertainty over minor daily fluctuations from news events, while the low probability on sub-37 outcomes underscores resilience in current survey trends. Any late-week announcements or data points within the resolution window remain the main variables that could shift final positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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