Trump's approval rating has declined steadily through his second term, averaging 37-40% by mid-2026 with recent high-quality polls showing figures as low as 33-36% and net ratings reaching -27. The mid-July resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran and resulting cycle of conflict have weighed heavily, driving disapproval on foreign policy and contributing to higher gas prices that most voters say cause hardship. Economic concerns including inflation, cost of living, and trade policy also register majority disapproval, alongside slipping support even on immigration. Midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 could amplify pressure on ratings depending on legislative outcomes, further escalation or de-escalation in the Middle East, and any shifts in consumer sentiment before year-end.