The market's overwhelming 89.5% "No" odds stem primarily from the Trump administration's swift backpedal on early-May proposals for federal pre-release vetting of advanced AI models. Brief discussions around voluntary safety-testing agreements with labs including Google, Microsoft, and xAI, along with a potential executive order creating an oversight working group, were quickly reframed by White House officials as industry partnerships rather than regulatory mandates. This aligns with the administration's established preference for light-touch policies, as seen in its March 2026 National AI Policy Framework and December 2025 actions preempting state rules. With no confirmed timeline or draft order advancing toward a May 31 deadline, traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of shifting the outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$63,584 交易量
$63,584 交易量
2026-05-31
是
$63,584 交易量
$63,584 交易量
2026-05-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market's overwhelming 89.5% "No" odds stem primarily from the Trump administration's swift backpedal on early-May proposals for federal pre-release vetting of advanced AI models. Brief discussions around voluntary safety-testing agreements with labs including Google, Microsoft, and xAI, along with a potential executive order creating an oversight working group, were quickly reframed by White House officials as industry partnerships rather than regulatory mandates. This aligns with the administration's established preference for light-touch policies, as seen in its March 2026 National AI Policy Framework and December 2025 actions preempting state rules. With no confirmed timeline or draft order advancing toward a May 31 deadline, traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of shifting the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
交易量
$63,584结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market's overwhelming 89.5% "No" odds stem primarily from the Trump administration's swift backpedal on early-May proposals for federal pre-release vetting of advanced AI models. Brief discussions around voluntary safety-testing agreements with labs including Google, Microsoft, and xAI, along with a potential executive order creating an oversight working group, were quickly reframed by White House officials as industry partnerships rather than regulatory mandates. This aligns with the administration's established preference for light-touch policies, as seen in its March 2026 National AI Policy Framework and December 2025 actions preempting state rules. With no confirmed timeline or draft order advancing toward a May 31 deadline, traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of shifting the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$63,584结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The market's overwhelming 89.5% "No" odds stem primarily from the Trump administration's swift backpedal on early-May proposals for federal pre-release vetting of advanced AI models. Brief discussions around voluntary safety-testing agreements with labs including Google, Microsoft, and xAI, along with a potential executive order creating an oversight working group, were quickly reframed by White House officials as industry partnerships rather than regulatory mandates. This aligns with the administration's established preference for light-touch policies, as seen in its March 2026 National AI Policy Framework and December 2025 actions preempting state rules. With no confirmed timeline or draft order advancing toward a May 31 deadline, traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of shifting the outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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