In the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors Colin Allred at 77% implied probability, reflecting his 45.5% first-place finish in the March 3 primary—11 points ahead of incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson’s 34%—bolstered by superior fundraising with $6.4 million raised and $679,000 cash on hand versus Johnson’s $2.1 million and $487,000. Endorsements from primary rivals Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez further consolidate support for Allred, while Johnson holds backing from House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries and EMILYs List. Recent mutual attacks have intensified, with Allred criticizing Johnson’s Palantir stock trades tied to ICE surveillance and Johnson highlighting Allred’s votes for the No Sanctuary Cities Act and Laken Riley Act. Early voting begins May 18 in the heavily Democratic, Latino-majority Dallas County district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于科林·奥尔雷德 78%
朱莉·约翰逊 16%
卡洛斯·金塔尼利亚 <1%
泽尚·哈菲兹 <1%
$73,254 交易量
$73,254 交易量
科林·奥尔雷德
78%
朱莉·约翰逊
16%
卡洛斯·金塔尼利亚
<1%
泽尚·哈菲兹
<1%
科林·奥尔雷德 78%
朱莉·约翰逊 16%
卡洛斯·金塔尼利亚 <1%
泽尚·哈菲兹 <1%
$73,254 交易量
$73,254 交易量
科林·奥尔雷德
78%
朱莉·约翰逊
16%
卡洛斯·金塔尼利亚
<1%
泽尚·哈菲兹
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors Colin Allred at 77% implied probability, reflecting his 45.5% first-place finish in the March 3 primary—11 points ahead of incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson’s 34%—bolstered by superior fundraising with $6.4 million raised and $679,000 cash on hand versus Johnson’s $2.1 million and $487,000. Endorsements from primary rivals Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez further consolidate support for Allred, while Johnson holds backing from House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries and EMILYs List. Recent mutual attacks have intensified, with Allred criticizing Johnson’s Palantir stock trades tied to ICE surveillance and Johnson highlighting Allred’s votes for the No Sanctuary Cities Act and Laken Riley Act. Early voting begins May 18 in the heavily Democratic, Latino-majority Dallas County district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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