US Treasury sanctions relief on Iranian oil sales remains unlikely in the near term following the July 7, 2026 revocation of General License X, which had temporarily authorized dollar-denominated exports of crude, petrochemicals, and petroleum products through August 21. The revocation stemmed from Iranian attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and breaches of the June memorandum of understanding, prompting reinstatement of the US naval blockade. Iranian exports have since collapsed to a fraction of pre-war levels, with no supertanker loadings reported at Kharg Island for weeks and onshore inventories drawing down sharply. This supply constriction supports tighter global crude balances and elevated benchmarks such as Brent near recent trading ranges, while OFAC continues targeting shadow fleet vessels. Trader consensus on reissuance hinges on verifiable progress in nuclear inspections, Hormuz transit guarantees, or bilateral talks, with resolution tied to official Treasury or OFAC actions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$361,182 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
9%
10月31日
32%
$361,182 交易量
9月30日
$22,156 交易量
9%
10月31日
$8,756 交易量
32%
On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.US Treasury sanctions relief on Iranian oil sales remains unlikely in the near term following the July 7, 2026 revocation of General License X, which had temporarily authorized dollar-denominated exports of crude, petrochemicals, and petroleum products through August 21. The revocation stemmed from Iranian attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and breaches of the June memorandum of understanding, prompting reinstatement of the US naval blockade. Iranian exports have since collapsed to a fraction of pre-war levels, with no supertanker loadings reported at Kharg Island for weeks and onshore inventories drawing down sharply. This supply constriction supports tighter global crude balances and elevated benchmarks such as Brent near recent trading ranges, while OFAC continues targeting shadow fleet vessels. Trader consensus on reissuance hinges on verifiable progress in nuclear inspections, Hormuz transit guarantees, or bilateral talks, with resolution tied to official Treasury or OFAC actions.
On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
交易量
$361,182结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ETOn July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.US Treasury sanctions relief on Iranian oil sales remains unlikely in the near term following the July 7, 2026 revocation of General License X, which had temporarily authorized dollar-denominated exports of crude, petrochemicals, and petroleum products through August 21. The revocation stemmed from Iranian attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and breaches of the June memorandum of understanding, prompting reinstatement of the US naval blockade. Iranian exports have since collapsed to a fraction of pre-war levels, with no supertanker loadings reported at Kharg Island for weeks and onshore inventories drawing down sharply. This supply constriction supports tighter global crude balances and elevated benchmarks such as Brent near recent trading ranges, while OFAC continues targeting shadow fleet vessels. Trader consensus on reissuance hinges on verifiable progress in nuclear inspections, Hormuz transit guarantees, or bilateral talks, with resolution tied to official Treasury or OFAC actions.
On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
交易量
$361,182结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ETUS Treasury sanctions relief on Iranian oil sales remains unlikely in the near term following the July 7, 2026 revocation of General License X, which had temporarily authorized dollar-denominated exports of crude, petrochemicals, and petroleum products through August 21. The revocation stemmed from Iranian attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and breaches of the June memorandum of understanding, prompting reinstatement of the US naval blockade. Iranian exports have since collapsed to a fraction of pre-war levels, with no supertanker loadings reported at Kharg Island for weeks and onshore inventories drawing down sharply. This supply constriction supports tighter global crude balances and elevated benchmarks such as Brent near recent trading ranges, while OFAC continues targeting shadow fleet vessels. Trader consensus on reissuance hinges on verifiable progress in nuclear inspections, Hormuz transit guarantees, or bilateral talks, with resolution tied to official Treasury or OFAC actions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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