Recent reporting that SpaceX has confidentially filed for a Nasdaq IPO and plans to debut under the ticker SPCX has solidified trader consensus around the "Other" outcome at 92.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects SpaceX's accelerated timeline, with a public filing expected imminently, a roadshow launch targeted for early June, and a potential listing as soon as June 12. The choice of SPCX aligns with the company's space exploration focus while avoiding direct conflicts with existing symbols, following its merger with xAI and strong Starlink-driven revenue growth projected for 2026. Scenarios that could still shift odds include last-minute regulatory hurdles, a change in listing venue, or an unexpected pivot to an alternative symbol like $SPAX if competitive dynamics or branding priorities evolve before the final S-1 disclosure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于其他(包括 $SPCX) 92.5%
$X 2.5%
$SPAX <1%
分组项标题:$SX <1%
$6,101,011 交易量
$6,101,011 交易量
其他(包括 $SPCX)
93%
$X
2%
$SPAX
1%
分组项标题:$SX
1%
分组项标题:$SEX
1%
分组项标题:$SPACE
<1%
分组项标题:$MARS
<1%
$STAR
<1%
$SPC
<1%
其他(包括 $SPCX) 92.5%
$X 2.5%
$SPAX <1%
分组项标题:$SX <1%
$6,101,011 交易量
$6,101,011 交易量
其他(包括 $SPCX)
93%
$X
2%
$SPAX
1%
分组项标题:$SX
1%
分组项标题:$SEX
1%
分组项标题:$SPACE
<1%
分组项标题:$MARS
<1%
$STAR
<1%
$SPC
<1%
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间: Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent reporting that SpaceX has confidentially filed for a Nasdaq IPO and plans to debut under the ticker SPCX has solidified trader consensus around the "Other" outcome at 92.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects SpaceX's accelerated timeline, with a public filing expected imminently, a roadshow launch targeted for early June, and a potential listing as soon as June 12. The choice of SPCX aligns with the company's space exploration focus while avoiding direct conflicts with existing symbols, following its merger with xAI and strong Starlink-driven revenue growth projected for 2026. Scenarios that could still shift odds include last-minute regulatory hurdles, a change in listing venue, or an unexpected pivot to an alternative symbol like $SPAX if competitive dynamics or branding priorities evolve before the final S-1 disclosure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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