Anthropic's Claude AI has experienced repeated service disruptions in June 2026 driven by infrastructure strain from surging demand outpacing capacity, with confirmed incidents including elevated errors on June 2, 5, 13, 15, and 16 affecting claude.ai, the API, Opus models, and related tools like Claude Code. Status page records show these produced multiple days of degraded performance or full outages, pushing the month toward the 6-8 day range that currently holds 67% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the company's 99% 90-day uptime average against this accelerating pattern of fixes that often fail to hold, while noting limited remaining time in the month and no immediate resolution to scaling challenges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6-8 72%
9-11 17%
12+ <1%
$37,690 交易量
$37,690 交易量
2026-06-30
6-8
74%
9-11
25%
12+
1%
6-8 72%
9-11 17%
12+ <1%
$37,690 交易量
$37,690 交易量
2026-06-30
6-8
$4,076 交易量
74%
9-11
$4,996 交易量
25%
12+
$9,249 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's Claude AI has experienced repeated service disruptions in June 2026 driven by infrastructure strain from surging demand outpacing capacity, with confirmed incidents including elevated errors on June 2, 5, 13, 15, and 16 affecting claude.ai, the API, Opus models, and related tools like Claude Code. Status page records show these produced multiple days of degraded performance or full outages, pushing the month toward the 6-8 day range that currently holds 67% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the company's 99% 90-day uptime average against this accelerating pattern of fixes that often fail to hold, while noting limited remaining time in the month and no immediate resolution to scaling challenges.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
市场开放时间： May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$37,690结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's Claude AI has experienced repeated service disruptions in June 2026 driven by infrastructure strain from surging demand outpacing capacity, with confirmed incidents including elevated errors on June 2, 5, 13, 15, and 16 affecting claude.ai, the API, Opus models, and related tools like Claude Code. Status page records show these produced multiple days of degraded performance or full outages, pushing the month toward the 6-8 day range that currently holds 67% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the company's 99% 90-day uptime average against this accelerating pattern of fixes that often fail to hold, while noting limited remaining time in the month and no immediate resolution to scaling challenges.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
交易量
$37,690结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude AI has experienced repeated service disruptions in June 2026 driven by infrastructure strain from surging demand outpacing capacity, with confirmed incidents including elevated errors on June 2, 5, 13, 15, and 16 affecting claude.ai, the API, Opus models, and related tools like Claude Code. Status page records show these produced multiple days of degraded performance or full outages, pushing the month toward the 6-8 day range that currently holds 67% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the company's 99% 90-day uptime average against this accelerating pattern of fixes that often fail to hold, while noting limited remaining time in the month and no immediate resolution to scaling challenges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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