Ongoing hostilities in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, including reciprocal strikes on energy infrastructure and civilian areas in August 2026, continue to block any path to Russian reintegration into the G7. The June 2026 G7 summit in Évian reinforced unified support for Ukraine's territorial integrity and committed to expanded sanctions targeting Russia's oil and gas sectors, consistent with the group's exclusion of Russia since 2014. Traders assign 98.4% probability to "No" before 2027 because G7 membership requires consensus among members on shared democratic and security principles, which current diplomatic and military conditions do not meet. A comprehensive ceasefire or verifiable withdrawal satisfying all parties could theoretically reopen discussions, though such developments remain distant within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
2% 概率
$53,393 交易量
$53,393 交易量
2026-12-31
是
2% 概率
$53,393 交易量
$53,393 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing hostilities in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, including reciprocal strikes on energy infrastructure and civilian areas in August 2026, continue to block any path to Russian reintegration into the G7. The June 2026 G7 summit in Évian reinforced unified support for Ukraine's territorial integrity and committed to expanded sanctions targeting Russia's oil and gas sectors, consistent with the group's exclusion of Russia since 2014. Traders assign 98.4% probability to "No" before 2027 because G7 membership requires consensus among members on shared democratic and security principles, which current diplomatic and military conditions do not meet. A comprehensive ceasefire or verifiable withdrawal satisfying all parties could theoretically reopen discussions, though such developments remain distant within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET
交易量
$53,393结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing hostilities in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, including reciprocal strikes on energy infrastructure and civilian areas in August 2026, continue to block any path to Russian reintegration into the G7. The June 2026 G7 summit in Évian reinforced unified support for Ukraine's territorial integrity and committed to expanded sanctions targeting Russia's oil and gas sectors, consistent with the group's exclusion of Russia since 2014. Traders assign 98.4% probability to "No" before 2027 because G7 membership requires consensus among members on shared democratic and security principles, which current diplomatic and military conditions do not meet. A comprehensive ceasefire or verifiable withdrawal satisfying all parties could theoretically reopen discussions, though such developments remain distant within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$53,393结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing hostilities in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, including reciprocal strikes on energy infrastructure and civilian areas in August 2026, continue to block any path to Russian reintegration into the G7. The June 2026 G7 summit in Évian reinforced unified support for Ukraine's territorial integrity and committed to expanded sanctions targeting Russia's oil and gas sectors, consistent with the group's exclusion of Russia since 2014. Traders assign 98.4% probability to "No" before 2027 because G7 membership requires consensus among members on shared democratic and security principles, which current diplomatic and military conditions do not meet. A comprehensive ceasefire or verifiable withdrawal satisfying all parties could theoretically reopen discussions, though such developments remain distant within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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