Argentina's status as defending champions and the clear class of Group J underpins their 71.5% implied probability to top the standings, bolstered by Lionel Messi's experience in what is expected to be his final World Cup and a roster with superior depth compared to the other sides. Algeria sits at 9.6% as the next-best option, drawing on solid recent AFCON performances and a favorable schedule that includes an opener against the holders. Austria at 18.5% benefits from Ralf Rangnick's structured approach and a return to the tournament after 28 years, while debutants Jordan at 1.5% face the steepest challenge in their first appearance. The group opens June 16 with Argentina facing Algeria, followed by Austria versus Jordan, with matches spread across Kansas City, San Francisco, and Dallas.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于阿根廷 72%
奥地利 19%
阿尔及利亚 9.6%
约旦 1.5%
$270,363 交易量
$270,363 交易量
阿根廷
72%
奥地利
19%
阿尔及利亚
10%
约旦
2%
阿根廷 72%
奥地利 19%
阿尔及利亚 9.6%
约旦 1.5%
$270,363 交易量
$270,363 交易量
阿根廷
72%
奥地利
19%
阿尔及利亚
10%
约旦
2%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's status as defending champions and the clear class of Group J underpins their 71.5% implied probability to top the standings, bolstered by Lionel Messi's experience in what is expected to be his final World Cup and a roster with superior depth compared to the other sides. Algeria sits at 9.6% as the next-best option, drawing on solid recent AFCON performances and a favorable schedule that includes an opener against the holders. Austria at 18.5% benefits from Ralf Rangnick's structured approach and a return to the tournament after 28 years, while debutants Jordan at 1.5% face the steepest challenge in their first appearance. The group opens June 16 with Argentina facing Algeria, followed by Austria versus Jordan, with matches spread across Kansas City, San Francisco, and Dallas.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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