balthazar

Joined Jan 2025·40.3K views

$249.1K

Positions Value

$116.4K

Biggest Win

97,035

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$1.1M
Total Volume: 87.2M

Profit/Loss

$5,465.48

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 50¢

45,000.0 shares

50¢

92¢

$41,400.00$18,900.00 (84%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 50¢

45,000.0 shares

$41,400.00$18,900.00 (84%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 76.8¢

12,315.5 shares

76.8¢

96.8¢

$11,921.41$2,463.30 (26.04%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 76.8¢

12,315.5 shares

$11,921.41$2,463.30 (26.04%)

Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more?

No 55.2¢

9,058.3 shares

55.2¢

97¢

$8,786.56$3,789.13 (75.82%)

Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more?

No 55.2¢

9,058.3 shares

$8,786.56$3,789.13 (75.82%)

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Yes 75.2¢

8,865.8 shares

75.2¢

95.5¢

$8,466.81$1,795.99 (26.92%)

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Yes 75.2¢

8,865.8 shares

$8,466.81$1,795.99 (26.92%)

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?

Yes 68.1¢

8,612.8 shares

68.1¢

97.2¢

$8,371.66$2,507.26 (42.75%)

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?

Yes 68.1¢

8,612.8 shares

$8,371.66$2,507.26 (42.75%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 92.7¢

5,781.9 shares

92.7¢

97.3¢

$5,622.94$264.48 (4.94%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 92.7¢

5,781.9 shares

$5,622.94$264.48 (4.94%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 95.6¢

5,500.0 shares

95.6¢

95.7¢

$5,263.49$4.55 (0.09%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 95.6¢

5,500.0 shares

$5,263.49$4.55 (0.09%)

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No 82.8¢

5,596.0 shares

82.8¢

88¢

$4,924.52$290.79 (6.28%)

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No 82.8¢

5,596.0 shares

$4,924.52$290.79 (6.28%)

Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?

No 85.9¢

3,711.9 shares

85.9¢

100¢

$3,710.05$523.33 (16.42%)

Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?

No 85.9¢

3,711.9 shares

$3,710.05$523.33 (16.42%)

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Yes 15.7¢

8,222.2 shares

15.7¢

44.8¢

$3,679.42$2,390.16 (185.39%)

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Yes 15.7¢

8,222.2 shares

$3,679.42$2,390.16 (185.39%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Yes 50¢

45,000.0 shares

50¢

8¢

$3,600.00-$18,900.00 (-84%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Yes 50¢

45,000.0 shares

$3,600.00-$18,900.00 (-84%)

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No 67.1¢

3,720.4 shares

67.1¢

82.5¢

$3,069.35$573.83 (22.99%)

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No 67.1¢

3,720.4 shares

$3,069.35$573.83 (22.99%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?

No 95.4¢

3,000.0 shares

95.4¢

99.2¢

$2,976.00$114.00 (3.98%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?

No 95.4¢

3,000.0 shares

$2,976.00$114.00 (3.98%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?

No 93.6¢

2,960.6 shares

93.6¢

99.2¢

$2,935.39$163.46 (5.9%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?

No 93.6¢

2,960.6 shares

$2,935.39$163.46 (5.9%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?

Yes 54.3¢

3,312.4 shares

54.3¢

85.5¢

$2,832.07$1,034.00 (57.51%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?

Yes 54.3¢

3,312.4 shares

$2,832.07$1,034.00 (57.51%)

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Yes 47.8¢

2,888.8 shares

47.8¢

97.7¢

$2,822.38$1,441.29 (104.36%)

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Yes 47.8¢

2,888.8 shares

$2,822.38$1,441.29 (104.36%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 69.1¢

2,907.9 shares

69.1¢

93.6¢

$2,721.83$713.25 (35.51%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 69.1¢

2,907.9 shares

$2,721.83$713.25 (35.51%)

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?

No 54.4¢

2,714.9 shares

54.4¢

93.8¢

$2,545.21$1,067.73 (72.27%)

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?

No 54.4¢

2,714.9 shares

$2,545.21$1,067.73 (72.27%)

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $3T?

No 99.6¢

2,534.4 shares

99.6¢

$2,524.27-$1.23 (-0.05%)

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $3T?

No 99.6¢

2,534.4 shares

$2,524.27-$1.23 (-0.05%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?

Yes 75.2¢

2,494.3 shares

75.2¢

95¢

$2,369.61$494.11 (26.35%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?

Yes 75.2¢

2,494.3 shares

$2,369.61$494.11 (26.35%)