Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier's dominant fundraising—over $656,000 cash on hand—and strong name recognition in California's deep-blue 10th Congressional District underpin trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 92.5% ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The East Bay seat, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, backed Kamala Harris by 34 points in 2024, where DeSaulnier won 66.5% in the general election. Facing underfunded Democratic challengers and Republicans like Angela Griffiths and Katherine Piccinini, the primary likely advances DeSaulnier and another Democrat, cementing the hold. Realistic challenges include a unified GOP primary surge for top-two advancement, an incumbent scandal, or a national Republican wave, though historical base rates favor incumbents in safe seats.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-10 House Election Winner
CA-10 House Election Winner
$13,469 Vol.
$13,469 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$13,469 Vol.
$13,469 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,846 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$5,623 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier's dominant fundraising—over $656,000 cash on hand—and strong name recognition in California's deep-blue 10th Congressional District underpin trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 92.5% ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The East Bay seat, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, backed Kamala Harris by 34 points in 2024, where DeSaulnier won 66.5% in the general election. Facing underfunded Democratic challengers and Republicans like Angela Griffiths and Katherine Piccinini, the primary likely advances DeSaulnier and another Democrat, cementing the hold. Realistic challenges include a unified GOP primary surge for top-two advancement, an incumbent scandal, or a national Republican wave, though historical base rates favor incumbents in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
ভলিউম
$13,469শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier's dominant fundraising—over $656,000 cash on hand—and strong name recognition in California's deep-blue 10th Congressional District underpin trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 92.5% ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The East Bay seat, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, backed Kamala Harris by 34 points in 2024, where DeSaulnier won 66.5% in the general election. Facing underfunded Democratic challengers and Republicans like Angela Griffiths and Katherine Piccinini, the primary likely advances DeSaulnier and another Democrat, cementing the hold. Realistic challenges include a unified GOP primary surge for top-two advancement, an incumbent scandal, or a national Republican wave, though historical base rates favor incumbents in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$13,469শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier's dominant fundraising—over $656,000 cash on hand—and strong name recognition in California's deep-blue 10th Congressional District underpin trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 92.5% ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The East Bay seat, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, backed Kamala Harris by 34 points in 2024, where DeSaulnier won 66.5% in the general election. Facing underfunded Democratic challengers and Republicans like Angela Griffiths and Katherine Piccinini, the primary likely advances DeSaulnier and another Democrat, cementing the hold. Realistic challenges include a unified GOP primary surge for top-two advancement, an incumbent scandal, or a national Republican wave, though historical base rates favor incumbents in safe seats.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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