Persistent inflation at 5.68% year-over-year in April 2026, well above the 3% target, and Banco de la República staff projections for a rise above 6% by year-end are sustaining the near-even split in market-implied odds for the June 30 policy decision. The unanimous April hold at the current 11.25% rate defied earlier expectations for further tightening, introducing caution as policymakers balance persistent core readings above 5.5% and robust domestic demand against moderating growth and fiscal stimulus. Recent comments from board members suggesting a possible slowdown in the pace of hikes, combined with the forthcoming May inflation release, remain the key swing factors that could tip trader consensus between a 25-to-50 basis point increase and another pause.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCentral Bank of Colombia Decision in June?
No change 55%
Increase 50%
Decrease 1.5%
Decrease
2%
No change
50%
Increase
51%
No change 55%
Increase 50%
Decrease 1.5%
Decrease
2%
No change
50%
Increase
51%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation at 5.68% year-over-year in April 2026, well above the 3% target, and Banco de la República staff projections for a rise above 6% by year-end are sustaining the near-even split in market-implied odds for the June 30 policy decision. The unanimous April hold at the current 11.25% rate defied earlier expectations for further tightening, introducing caution as policymakers balance persistent core readings above 5.5% and robust domestic demand against moderating growth and fiscal stimulus. Recent comments from board members suggesting a possible slowdown in the pace of hikes, combined with the forthcoming May inflation release, remain the key swing factors that could tip trader consensus between a 25-to-50 basis point increase and another pause.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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