Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C today, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local observatories projecting a sunny day with highs peaking precisely at that mark under stable high-pressure conditions. Observational data from early morning shows temperatures rising steadily from overnight lows near 20°C, with low humidity (around 40-50%) and light southerly winds promoting efficient daytime heating without cloud interference or convective activity. Model ensembles, including those from global systems like ECMWF and GFS analogs, align on this outcome amid a broader northern China warm-up exceeding 30°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like an unexpected afternoon shower or abrupt wind shift would be needed to push the peak higher or lower; official end-of-day measurements from Beijing's Capital International Airport station will resolve the market.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Beijing on May 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 13?
33°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$151,890 Vol.
$151,890 Vol.
May 13, 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$151,890 Vol.
$151,890 Vol.
May 13, 2026
32°C or below
$33,598 Vol.
No
33°C
$24,962 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$17,949 Vol.
No
35°C
$14,671 Vol.
No
36°C
$9,865 Vol.
No
37°C
$17,210 Vol.
No
38°C
$10,117 Vol.
No
39°C
$4,240 Vol.
No
40°C
$4,890 Vol.
No
41°C
$6,719 Vol.
No
42°C or higher
$7,668 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C today, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local observatories projecting a sunny day with highs peaking precisely at that mark under stable high-pressure conditions. Observational data from early morning shows temperatures rising steadily from overnight lows near 20°C, with low humidity (around 40-50%) and light southerly winds promoting efficient daytime heating without cloud interference or convective activity. Model ensembles, including those from global systems like ECMWF and GFS analogs, align on this outcome amid a broader northern China warm-up exceeding 30°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like an unexpected afternoon shower or abrupt wind shift would be needed to push the peak higher or lower; official end-of-day measurements from Beijing's Capital International Airport station will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 11, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
ভলিউম
$151,890শেষ তারিখ
May 13, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 11, 2026, 12:10 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C today, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local observatories projecting a sunny day with highs peaking precisely at that mark under stable high-pressure conditions. Observational data from early morning shows temperatures rising steadily from overnight lows near 20°C, with low humidity (around 40-50%) and light southerly winds promoting efficient daytime heating without cloud interference or convective activity. Model ensembles, including those from global systems like ECMWF and GFS analogs, align on this outcome amid a broader northern China warm-up exceeding 30°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like an unexpected afternoon shower or abrupt wind shift would be needed to push the peak higher or lower; official end-of-day measurements from Beijing's Capital International Airport station will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$151,890শেষ তারিখ
May 13, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 11, 2026, 12:10 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C today, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local observatories projecting a sunny day with highs peaking precisely at that mark under stable high-pressure conditions. Observational data from early morning shows temperatures rising steadily from overnight lows near 20°C, with low humidity (around 40-50%) and light southerly winds promoting efficient daytime heating without cloud interference or convective activity. Model ensembles, including those from global systems like ECMWF and GFS analogs, align on this outcome amid a broader northern China warm-up exceeding 30°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like an unexpected afternoon shower or abrupt wind shift would be needed to push the peak higher or lower; official end-of-day measurements from Beijing's Capital International Airport station will resolve the market.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা