Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a narrow range for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 13, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly winds that enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating over the urban heat island and Bosphorus. Consensus points to 27–28 °C as the most likely maximum, with small differences in model output arising from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing, and 10-meter wind speeds. Historical August climatology (average high near 28 °C) supports this tight distribution, while the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal passages keeps upside risk for 29 °C or higher low. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final value ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 13?
27°C 51%
28°C 43%
29°C 5%
26°C 4%
$11,986 Vol.
$11,986 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
51%
28°C
43%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 43%
29°C 5%
26°C 4%
$11,986 Vol.
$11,986 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
51%
28°C
43%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a narrow range for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 13, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly winds that enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating over the urban heat island and Bosphorus. Consensus points to 27–28 °C as the most likely maximum, with small differences in model output arising from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing, and 10-meter wind speeds. Historical August climatology (average high near 28 °C) supports this tight distribution, while the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal passages keeps upside risk for 29 °C or higher low. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final value ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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