Iran maintains firm control over Hormuz Island and the surrounding Strait of Hormuz through its Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy, coastal defenses, and a network of seven strategic islands that form a defensive line for monitoring and regulating maritime traffic. As of September 2026, Iranian officials continue to assert sole administrative authority over the waterway, rejecting alternative routes and demanding recognition from Oman and other littoral states via ongoing talks tied to a June 2026 US-Iran memorandum. Recent ship attacks and Iranian warnings against non-compliant vessels in the strait underscore Tehran's enforcement efforts amid a broader US naval blockade and intermittent strikes. No verified military actions have altered Iranian sovereignty over the island itself, though sustained regional escalation or successful external intervention could introduce uncertainty within the market's resolution window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$71,211 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
1%
$71,211 Vol.
September 30
$933 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hormuz Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hormuz Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Iran maintains firm control over Hormuz Island and the surrounding Strait of Hormuz through its Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy, coastal defenses, and a network of seven strategic islands that form a defensive line for monitoring and regulating maritime traffic. As of September 2026, Iranian officials continue to assert sole administrative authority over the waterway, rejecting alternative routes and demanding recognition from Oman and other littoral states via ongoing talks tied to a June 2026 US-Iran memorandum. Recent ship attacks and Iranian warnings against non-compliant vessels in the strait underscore Tehran's enforcement efforts amid a broader US naval blockade and intermittent strikes. No verified military actions have altered Iranian sovereignty over the island itself, though sustained regional escalation or successful external intervention could introduce uncertainty within the market's resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hormuz Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hormuz Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hormuz Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 26, 2026, 11:06 AM ET
ভলিউম
$71,211শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 26, 2026, 11:06 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hormuz Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hormuz Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Iran maintains firm control over Hormuz Island and the surrounding Strait of Hormuz through its Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy, coastal defenses, and a network of seven strategic islands that form a defensive line for monitoring and regulating maritime traffic. As of September 2026, Iranian officials continue to assert sole administrative authority over the waterway, rejecting alternative routes and demanding recognition from Oman and other littoral states via ongoing talks tied to a June 2026 US-Iran memorandum. Recent ship attacks and Iranian warnings against non-compliant vessels in the strait underscore Tehran's enforcement efforts amid a broader US naval blockade and intermittent strikes. No verified military actions have altered Iranian sovereignty over the island itself, though sustained regional escalation or successful external intervention could introduce uncertainty within the market's resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hormuz Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hormuz Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hormuz Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$71,211শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 26, 2026, 11:06 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Iran maintains firm control over Hormuz Island and the surrounding Strait of Hormuz through its Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy, coastal defenses, and a network of seven strategic islands that form a defensive line for monitoring and regulating maritime traffic. As of September 2026, Iranian officials continue to assert sole administrative authority over the waterway, rejecting alternative routes and demanding recognition from Oman and other littoral states via ongoing talks tied to a June 2026 US-Iran memorandum. Recent ship attacks and Iranian warnings against non-compliant vessels in the strait underscore Tehran's enforcement efforts amid a broader US naval blockade and intermittent strikes. No verified military actions have altered Iranian sovereignty over the island itself, though sustained regional escalation or successful external intervention could introduce uncertainty within the market's resolution window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা