As of mid-August 2026, Ballotpedia and congressional trackers show 23 Democratic House incumbents not seeking re-election, placing the total in the market's leading 20–23 bin. This count includes both outright retirements from public office and departures to pursue Senate, gubernatorial, or other roles, driven primarily by long-serving members such as Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, Jan Schakowsky, and others citing generational turnover after the 2024 cycle. A handful of additional announcements or primary challenges could still shift the final figure into the 24–27 range before filing deadlines close in most states, while the lower 20–23 probability reflects the current confirmed total and limited late movement in Democratic ranks compared with higher Republican departures.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড20–23 45.4%
24–27 34%
28–31 18.2%
40+ 7.4%
$45,105 Vol.
$45,105 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
<20
1%
20–23
45%
24–27
34%
28–31
11%
32–35
7%
36–39
<1%
40+
7%
20–23 45.4%
24–27 34%
28–31 18.2%
40+ 7.4%
$45,105 Vol.
$45,105 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
<20
$17,862 Vol.
1%
20–23
$9,852 Vol.
45%
24–27
$7,874 Vol.
34%
28–31
$1,930 Vol.
11%
32–35
$4,533 Vol.
7%
36–39
$1,355 Vol.
<1%
40+
$1,699 Vol.
7%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.As of mid-August 2026, Ballotpedia and congressional trackers show 23 Democratic House incumbents not seeking re-election, placing the total in the market's leading 20–23 bin. This count includes both outright retirements from public office and departures to pursue Senate, gubernatorial, or other roles, driven primarily by long-serving members such as Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, Jan Schakowsky, and others citing generational turnover after the 2024 cycle. A handful of additional announcements or primary challenges could still shift the final figure into the 24–27 range before filing deadlines close in most states, while the lower 20–23 probability reflects the current confirmed total and limited late movement in Democratic ranks compared with higher Republican departures.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
ভলিউম
$45,105শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.As of mid-August 2026, Ballotpedia and congressional trackers show 23 Democratic House incumbents not seeking re-election, placing the total in the market's leading 20–23 bin. This count includes both outright retirements from public office and departures to pursue Senate, gubernatorial, or other roles, driven primarily by long-serving members such as Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, Jan Schakowsky, and others citing generational turnover after the 2024 cycle. A handful of additional announcements or primary challenges could still shift the final figure into the 24–27 range before filing deadlines close in most states, while the lower 20–23 probability reflects the current confirmed total and limited late movement in Democratic ranks compared with higher Republican departures.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$45,105শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...As of mid-August 2026, Ballotpedia and congressional trackers show 23 Democratic House incumbents not seeking re-election, placing the total in the market's leading 20–23 bin. This count includes both outright retirements from public office and departures to pursue Senate, gubernatorial, or other roles, driven primarily by long-serving members such as Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, Jan Schakowsky, and others citing generational turnover after the 2024 cycle. A handful of additional announcements or primary challenges could still shift the final figure into the 24–27 range before filing deadlines close in most states, while the lower 20–23 probability reflects the current confirmed total and limited late movement in Democratic ranks compared with higher Republican departures.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা