The Trump administration's immigration enforcement has accelerated since early 2025, with ICE reporting roughly 443,000 removals in fiscal year 2025 alongside expanded detention capacity and daily arrest rates exceeding 1,200 in recent months. Officials have set a formal 1 million annual target for 2026 while adding personnel and prioritizing criminal noncitizens, yet actual interior removals remain constrained by logistics, court backlogs, and fluctuating enforcement intensity. Recent statements from DHS and border officials reaffirm commitments to larger-scale operations, including cooperation with local authorities and worksite actions. These factors sustain tight market positioning between the 300-400k and 400-500k ranges, with separation likely hinging on sustained arrest volumes, congressional funding outcomes, or shifts in self-deportation trends through the remainder of the calendar year.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHow many people will Trump deport in 2026?
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
400-500k 35%
300-400k 33%
200-300k 16%
500-600k 6.3%
$105,520 Vol.
$105,520 Vol.
<200k
2%
200-300k
16%
300-400k
33%
400-500k
35%
500-600k
6%
600-700k
1%
700-800k
1%
800-900k
1%
900k-1m
1%
>1m
1%
400-500k 35%
300-400k 33%
200-300k 16%
500-600k 6.3%
$105,520 Vol.
$105,520 Vol.
<200k
2%
200-300k
16%
300-400k
33%
400-500k
35%
500-600k
6%
600-700k
1%
700-800k
1%
800-900k
1%
900k-1m
1%
>1m
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Trump administration's immigration enforcement has accelerated since early 2025, with ICE reporting roughly 443,000 removals in fiscal year 2025 alongside expanded detention capacity and daily arrest rates exceeding 1,200 in recent months. Officials have set a formal 1 million annual target for 2026 while adding personnel and prioritizing criminal noncitizens, yet actual interior removals remain constrained by logistics, court backlogs, and fluctuating enforcement intensity. Recent statements from DHS and border officials reaffirm commitments to larger-scale operations, including cooperation with local authorities and worksite actions. These factors sustain tight market positioning between the 300-400k and 400-500k ranges, with separation likely hinging on sustained arrest volumes, congressional funding outcomes, or shifts in self-deportation trends through the remainder of the calendar year.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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