Traders view the closely matched probabilities for fewer than five posts versus five to nine posts by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei from May 15 to 22 as reflecting established patterns of restrained public messaging from Iran's highest authority during periods without acute crises. Ongoing regional diplomacy, domestic economic measures, and standard institutional communications have produced no clear catalyst for elevated activity so far, sustaining tight contestation around these lower ranges. A sudden escalation in foreign policy tensions, high-level bilateral meetings, or domestic unrest could increase official statements and widen separation toward mid-range outcomes, while sustained stability would reinforce the current trader consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডKhamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
55-59 41.0%
45-49 38.7%
50-54 38.6%
60+ 17.7%
নতুন
নতুন
May 22, 2026
<5
47%
5-9
49%
10-14
22%
15-19
40%
20-24
40%
25-29
40%
30-34
36%
35-39
42%
40-44
4%
45-49
39%
50-54
39%
55-59
41%
60+
18%
55-59 41.0%
45-49 38.7%
50-54 38.6%
60+ 17.7%
নতুন
নতুন
May 22, 2026
<5
$214 Vol.
47%
5-9
$62 Vol.
49%
10-14
$71 Vol.
22%
15-19
$44 Vol.
40%
20-24
$40 Vol.
40%
25-29
$40 Vol.
40%
30-34
$85 Vol.
36%
35-39
$61 Vol.
42%
40-44
$140 Vol.
4%
45-49
$70 Vol.
39%
50-54
$69 Vol.
39%
55-59
$55 Vol.
41%
60+
$123 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders view the closely matched probabilities for fewer than five posts versus five to nine posts by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei from May 15 to 22 as reflecting established patterns of restrained public messaging from Iran's highest authority during periods without acute crises. Ongoing regional diplomacy, domestic economic measures, and standard institutional communications have produced no clear catalyst for elevated activity so far, sustaining tight contestation around these lower ranges. A sudden escalation in foreign policy tensions, high-level bilateral meetings, or domestic unrest could increase official statements and widen separation toward mid-range outcomes, while sustained stability would reinforce the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,075শেষ তারিখ
May 22, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders view the closely matched probabilities for fewer than five posts versus five to nine posts by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei from May 15 to 22 as reflecting established patterns of restrained public messaging from Iran's highest authority during periods without acute crises. Ongoing regional diplomacy, domestic economic measures, and standard institutional communications have produced no clear catalyst for elevated activity so far, sustaining tight contestation around these lower ranges. A sudden escalation in foreign policy tensions, high-level bilateral meetings, or domestic unrest could increase official statements and widen separation toward mid-range outcomes, while sustained stability would reinforce the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ভলিউম
$1,075শেষ তারিখ
May 22, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view the closely matched probabilities for fewer than five posts versus five to nine posts by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei from May 15 to 22 as reflecting established patterns of restrained public messaging from Iran's highest authority during periods without acute crises. Ongoing regional diplomacy, domestic economic measures, and standard institutional communications have produced no clear catalyst for elevated activity so far, sustaining tight contestation around these lower ranges. A sudden escalation in foreign policy tensions, high-level bilateral meetings, or domestic unrest could increase official statements and widen separation toward mid-range outcomes, while sustained stability would reinforce the current trader consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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