Kentucky's 4th congressional district carries an R+18 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican dominance in recent presidential and statewide results that underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 92.5%. Ed Gallrein secured the Republican nomination in the May 19 primary after defeating longtime incumbent Thomas Massie with substantial support from pro-Trump and aligned outside spending. The November general election pits Gallrein against Democrat Melissa Strange in a district where Republican candidates have routinely prevailed by wide margins. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A major unforeseen scandal involving the nominee or an exceptional Democratic turnout surge in suburban counties could narrow the outcome, though historical patterns and the district's structural advantages limit realistic paths for an upset.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডKY-04 House Election Winner
KY-04 House Election Winner
$34,317 Vol.
$34,317 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$34,317 Vol.
$34,317 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$24,877 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$9,440 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 4th congressional district carries an R+18 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican dominance in recent presidential and statewide results that underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 92.5%. Ed Gallrein secured the Republican nomination in the May 19 primary after defeating longtime incumbent Thomas Massie with substantial support from pro-Trump and aligned outside spending. The November general election pits Gallrein against Democrat Melissa Strange in a district where Republican candidates have routinely prevailed by wide margins. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A major unforeseen scandal involving the nominee or an exceptional Democratic turnout surge in suburban counties could narrow the outcome, though historical patterns and the district's structural advantages limit realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$34,317শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 4th congressional district carries an R+18 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican dominance in recent presidential and statewide results that underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 92.5%. Ed Gallrein secured the Republican nomination in the May 19 primary after defeating longtime incumbent Thomas Massie with substantial support from pro-Trump and aligned outside spending. The November general election pits Gallrein against Democrat Melissa Strange in a district where Republican candidates have routinely prevailed by wide margins. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A major unforeseen scandal involving the nominee or an exceptional Democratic turnout surge in suburban counties could narrow the outcome, though historical patterns and the district's structural advantages limit realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$34,317শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 4th congressional district carries an R+18 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican dominance in recent presidential and statewide results that underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 92.5%. Ed Gallrein secured the Republican nomination in the May 19 primary after defeating longtime incumbent Thomas Massie with substantial support from pro-Trump and aligned outside spending. The November general election pits Gallrein against Democrat Melissa Strange in a district where Republican candidates have routinely prevailed by wide margins. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A major unforeseen scandal involving the nominee or an exceptional Democratic turnout surge in suburban counties could narrow the outcome, though historical patterns and the district's structural advantages limit realistic paths for an upset.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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