Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on September 6 point to overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated moisture, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies ahead of any weak frontal passage. This setup keeps minimum temperatures well above the early-September climatological average near 71°F, concentrating trader-implied probability on the 72–75°F bins while assigning lower odds to cooler outcomes. Slight model disagreements on cloud cover and dew-point depression introduce the main uncertainty, with any unexpected clearing or drier air potentially allowing a dip toward 72°F or below. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Austin on September 6?
86°F or higher 59%
68-69°F 49%
78-79°F 49%
80-81°F 49%
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
35%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86°F or higher
59%
86°F or higher 59%
68-69°F 49%
78-79°F 49%
80-81°F 49%
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
35%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86°F or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on September 6 point to overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated moisture, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies ahead of any weak frontal passage. This setup keeps minimum temperatures well above the early-September climatological average near 71°F, concentrating trader-implied probability on the 72–75°F bins while assigning lower odds to cooler outcomes. Slight model disagreements on cloud cover and dew-point depression introduce the main uncertainty, with any unexpected clearing or drier air potentially allowing a dip toward 72°F or below. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা