**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to overnight lows of 24–27°C on August 25 in the Seoul-Incheon area, with 25–26°C as the most likely range.** This aligns closely with current market-implied probabilities, where 26°C leads at 47.5% and 25°C follows at 32%. Persistent high humidity (dew points near 24–26°C) and partly cloudy skies limit nocturnal radiative cooling, a common late-summer pattern in the region influenced by residual monsoon moisture and southwesterly flow. Official guidance from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models (GFS, ECMWF) shows minimal overnight drops, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to historical August averages around 22°C. Light winds and scattered showers or drizzle on the 24th–25th further stabilize the boundary layer, reducing the chance of sharper cooling. Recent surface observations confirm this setup, with no strong frontal passages or clear-sky radiative events expected before the 25th. Ensemble spread remains modest, supporting trader focus on the narrow 25–26°C band while assigning lower odds to outliers below 24°C or above 27°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in cloud cover or moisture transport over the next 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
26°C 48%
25°C 29%
24°C 14%
27°C 14%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
14%
25°C
29%
26°C
48%
27°C
14%
28°C
11%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
2%
26°C 48%
25°C 29%
24°C 14%
27°C 14%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
7%
24°C
$0 Vol.
14%
25°C
$0 Vol.
29%
26°C
$0 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
14%
28°C
$10 Vol.
11%
29°C
$10 Vol.
1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
4%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to overnight lows of 24–27°C on August 25 in the Seoul-Incheon area, with 25–26°C as the most likely range.** This aligns closely with current market-implied probabilities, where 26°C leads at 47.5% and 25°C follows at 32%.
Persistent high humidity (dew points near 24–26°C) and partly cloudy skies limit nocturnal radiative cooling, a common late-summer pattern in the region influenced by residual monsoon moisture and southwesterly flow. Official guidance from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models (GFS, ECMWF) shows minimal overnight drops, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to historical August averages around 22°C. Light winds and scattered showers or drizzle on the 24th–25th further stabilize the boundary layer, reducing the chance of sharper cooling.
Recent surface observations confirm this setup, with no strong frontal passages or clear-sky radiative events expected before the 25th. Ensemble spread remains modest, supporting trader focus on the narrow 25–26°C band while assigning lower odds to outliers below 24°C or above 27°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in cloud cover or moisture transport over the next 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ভলিউম
$40শেষ তারিখ
Aug 25, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to overnight lows of 24–27°C on August 25 in the Seoul-Incheon area, with 25–26°C as the most likely range.** This aligns closely with current market-implied probabilities, where 26°C leads at 47.5% and 25°C follows at 32%.
Persistent high humidity (dew points near 24–26°C) and partly cloudy skies limit nocturnal radiative cooling, a common late-summer pattern in the region influenced by residual monsoon moisture and southwesterly flow. Official guidance from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models (GFS, ECMWF) shows minimal overnight drops, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to historical August averages around 22°C. Light winds and scattered showers or drizzle on the 24th–25th further stabilize the boundary layer, reducing the chance of sharper cooling.
Recent surface observations confirm this setup, with no strong frontal passages or clear-sky radiative events expected before the 25th. Ensemble spread remains modest, supporting trader focus on the narrow 25–26°C band while assigning lower odds to outliers below 24°C or above 27°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in cloud cover or moisture transport over the next 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$40শেষ তারিখ
Aug 25, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to overnight lows of 24–27°C on August 25 in the Seoul-Incheon area, with 25–26°C as the most likely range.** This aligns closely with current market-implied probabilities, where 26°C leads at 47.5% and 25°C follows at 32%. Persistent high humidity (dew points near 24–26°C) and partly cloudy skies limit nocturnal radiative cooling, a common late-summer pattern in the region influenced by residual monsoon moisture and southwesterly flow. Official guidance from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models (GFS, ECMWF) shows minimal overnight drops, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to historical August averages around 22°C. Light winds and scattered showers or drizzle on the 24th–25th further stabilize the boundary layer, reducing the chance of sharper cooling. Recent surface observations confirm this setup, with no strong frontal passages or clear-sky radiative events expected before the 25th. Ensemble spread remains modest, supporting trader focus on the narrow 25–26°C band while assigning lower odds to outliers below 24°C or above 27°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in cloud cover or moisture transport over the next 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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