The overwhelming trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for a 14°C low in Seoul on May 16 reflects converging short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble models, which settled on an overnight minimum of exactly 14°C. Mostly clear skies combined with light southerly winds enabled efficient radiative cooling and limited urban heat retention, aligning with mid-May climatological norms where official Seoul Central Observatory records typically show lows between 12°C and 16°C. Recent drier air following earlier precipitation further supported this trajectory. A significant last-minute model revision or localized microclimate shift remains the only realistic scenario that could move the outcome outside the narrow 14°C band before final resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
14°C 99.8%
13°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,372 Vol.
$48,372 Vol.
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
14°C 99.8%
13°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,372 Vol.
$48,372 Vol.
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
$2,664 Vol.
No
14°C
$5,169 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$19,720 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,462 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,520 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,683 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,988 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,686 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,464 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,090 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$4,928 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for a 14°C low in Seoul on May 16 reflects converging short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble models, which settled on an overnight minimum of exactly 14°C. Mostly clear skies combined with light southerly winds enabled efficient radiative cooling and limited urban heat retention, aligning with mid-May climatological norms where official Seoul Central Observatory records typically show lows between 12°C and 16°C. Recent drier air following earlier precipitation further supported this trajectory. A significant last-minute model revision or localized microclimate shift remains the only realistic scenario that could move the outcome outside the narrow 14°C band before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$48,372শেষ তারিখ
May 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for a 14°C low in Seoul on May 16 reflects converging short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble models, which settled on an overnight minimum of exactly 14°C. Mostly clear skies combined with light southerly winds enabled efficient radiative cooling and limited urban heat retention, aligning with mid-May climatological norms where official Seoul Central Observatory records typically show lows between 12°C and 16°C. Recent drier air following earlier precipitation further supported this trajectory. A significant last-minute model revision or localized microclimate shift remains the only realistic scenario that could move the outcome outside the narrow 14°C band before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$48,372শেষ তারিখ
May 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe overwhelming trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for a 14°C low in Seoul on May 16 reflects converging short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble models, which settled on an overnight minimum of exactly 14°C. Mostly clear skies combined with light southerly winds enabled efficient radiative cooling and limited urban heat retention, aligning with mid-May climatological norms where official Seoul Central Observatory records typically show lows between 12°C and 16°C. Recent drier air following earlier precipitation further supported this trajectory. A significant last-minute model revision or localized microclimate shift remains the only realistic scenario that could move the outcome outside the narrow 14°C band before final resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা